Stocks · resolved market
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 10 above $185?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5dc45e569ad00efa9500f0ba02ff1269e2a3d062860f71d5d3bb041257596515
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb793…16e9backed No | 57c | 681.27$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed No | 33c | 664.65$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.63 | 482 | 34%164 W · 318 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622f…9992backed Yes | 79c | 560$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…eeaabacked No | 38c | 525.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc6…d5e0backed No | 16c | 500$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +9.1wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +26%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Yes | 67c | 497.09$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.95 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 20c | 398.14$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.76 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…d4a6backed No | 35c | 370.09$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.42 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdcd…8789backed Yes | 76c | 271.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb02e…25e5backed Yes | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 28c | 224.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 438 | 38.8%170 W · 268 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 37c | 219.02$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.28 | 602 | 29.9%180 W · 422 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…cea8backed Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 519 | 27.6%143 W · 376 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb01…02e5backed Yes | 67c | 193.4$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.94 | 232 | 53.4%124 W · 108 L | +18.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 61c | 141.53$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.94 | 565 | 48.7%275 W · 290 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 80c | 140.64$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -26.8wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…e350backed Yes | 78c | 135$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 26c | 103.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 1,444 | 8.8%127 W · 1,317 L | -53.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc534…b734backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…c46fbacked No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 66c | 96.29$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 24c | 83.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 56c | 60.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 863 | 38.1%329 W · 534 L | -43.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 32c | 57.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…0258backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked No | 56c | 46.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 39c | 42.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -22.2wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…4ebabacked Yes | 52c | 38.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked Yes | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed Yes | 66c | 31.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…7520backed No | 53c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…3cf3backed No | 53c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 67c | 20.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddd8…31a4backed Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62b4…3eebbacked Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x378d…35ddbacked Yes | 63c | 18.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x144c…95c8backed Yes | 76c | 13.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 10 above $185?this page
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 10 above $170?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 10 above $175?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 10 above $180?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 10 above $190?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 10 above $195?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 10 above $200?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 10 above $205?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 10 above $210?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 10 above $215?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 10 above $220?No won
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 10 above $230?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.