Fifa International · resolved market
Will England win on 2025-10-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e1bf4d5c116557ff5d5ae26549cea15af30eb30ca4d5a1e2487951ac7ed9620
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $289,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $296,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $289,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 5c | 55,310$2,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,765.48 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 6c | 30,978$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.67 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed No | 6c | 20,743$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.59 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 6c | 15,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 5c | 12,500$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.57 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 5c | 11,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 6c | 7,734$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.7 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…512bbacked No | 7c | 7,143$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 6c | 6,650$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 6c | 5,580$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.8 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 6c | 5,350$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 6c | 5,268$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.08 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 6c | 5,010$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.61 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d2…59f7backed No | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebcc…30bfbacked No | 7c | 3,500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…cf2ebacked No | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…0920backed No | 7c | 2,650$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 6c | 2,648$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.65 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d6…a77fbacked No | 7c | 2,500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…a857backed No | 6c | 2,277$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.65 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…2cadbacked No | 6c | 1,600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…5148backed No | 6c | 620$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 4c | 528.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed No | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 6c | 310$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f06…e4f2backed No | 7c | 307.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…cf3abacked No | 7c | 144.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0745…4428backed No | 7c | 143.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will England win on 2025-10-14?this page
- Will Latvia vs. England end in a draw?No won
- Will Latvia win on 2025-10-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.