Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-10-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f150413a2d154229d03e2429cfdb7f1feba1dc77d7ffe7240fb2a828baea5a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 9c | 9,029$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.5 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Yes | 31c | 1,986$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.45 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 6c | 1,678$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.63 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 26c | 1,628$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac8b…dd33backed Yes | 4c | 1,220$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…a857backed No | 69c | 1,059$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked No | 70c | 999.98$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.36per pick | 53cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 70c | 917.1$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.76 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904c…1902backed No | 71c | 850$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942d…e227backed Yes | 29c | 849.99$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 31c | 845.16$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 69c | 818.11$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.61 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 714$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.64 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 7c | 477.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes | 30c | 357$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 30c | 302.64$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.94 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked No | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 24c | 164.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…d4e0backed No | 71c | 140.07$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…f694backed Yes | 31c | 124.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…f80abacked Yes | 29c | 91.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 70c | 65.3$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…489fbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…2c08backed No | 71c | 57.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes | 29c | 57.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 70c | 48.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 29c | 42.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked No | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-10-17?this page
- Will Union Berlin vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?No won
- Will Union Berlin win on 2025-10-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.