Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Union Berlin win on 2025-10-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70e9d389307798ca4185f3f90ee9181a5e3974e6baf9d42982bdd4f36597c927
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 6,271$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.82 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…73b3backed Yes | 73c | 4,240$3,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 23c | 4,001$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.2 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 74c | 3,689$2,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.71 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 58c | 3,539$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.62 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 57c | 2,293$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.89 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 59c | 2,158$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.44 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 44c | 1,599$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.44 | 71 | 11.3%8 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c2…51f9backed Yes | 68c | 1,406$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2913…730ebacked No | 56c | 1,212$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…8406backed Yes | 44c | 1,212$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 74c | 1,120$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.1 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb21c…3aedbacked No | 32c | 999.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…a857backed No | 57c | 899.97$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa455…4ebabacked Yes | 72c | 896$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 32c | 842.72$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.5 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 78c | 802$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.56 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 55c | 785.05$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.52 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 15c | 774.36$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.24 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 56c | 740.27$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.55 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Yes | 43c | 700$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.36per pick | 53cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 73c | 582.09$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.17 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Yes | 42c | 574.06$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.95 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 42c | 532.18$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.66 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 71c | 507$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.03 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73af…fa89backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d8…acb7backed Yes | 44c | 413.55$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 43c | 375.07$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.79 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 75c | 320$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 14c | 299.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 42c | 299.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.99 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 31c | 289$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.59 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 43c | 288.33$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.35 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…05efbacked Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5060…79c4backed Yes | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes | 43c | 241$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 43c | 228.37$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.64 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…94d3backed Yes | 44c | 225.14$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 44c | 217.34$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b8…d54cbacked Yes | 74c | 205.05$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…87fbbacked Yes | 43c | 186.74$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 57c | 186.05$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.05 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…0043backed Yes | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x390f…f0d4backed Yes | 44c | 171.14$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 79c | 160.13$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa418…9438backed No | 57c | 157.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0120…c3ccbacked No | 58c | 153.37$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f7…b3f8backed No | 58c | 149.56$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 67cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…bd69backed Yes | 43c | 146.07$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8661…3d01backed Yes | 44c | 131.79$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…9f2bbacked Yes | 45c | 121.87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…6ea7backed No | 58c | 118.47$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…bc43backed Yes | 45c | 110.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 55c | 107.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.39 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7890…d556backed No | 57c | 107.47$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be8…fdc3backed No | 58c | 107.37$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…6110backed Yes | 44c | 106.36$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4527…3bb8backed Yes | 45c | 100.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 96 | 21.9%21 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc39c…ee3bbacked Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb8…c597backed No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 34c | 88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…bbeebacked No | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 46c | 86.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…5a07backed No | 58c | 81.09$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…faa4backed Yes | 70c | 80.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2968…e0c4backed No | 57c | 75.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca31…fc23backed Yes | 43c | 72.63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ab…fcabbacked Yes | 44c | 70.73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac8b…dd33backed Yes | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5b…24edbacked No | 58c | 69.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db3…e657backed Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…35e5backed Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -11%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked No | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -47%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a8…df3dbacked No | 58c | 56.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…acc2backed Yes | 44c | 54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ac…4bdabacked No | 58c | 53.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 70c | 50.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6158…81bcbacked No | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6073…d82fbacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25a2…7534backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 57c | 45.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…e208backed No | 58c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 34c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…8e0ebacked Yes | 78c | 40.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Union Berlin win on 2025-10-17?this page
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-10-17?No won
- Will Union Berlin vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.