Tennis · resolved market
Jiangxi Open: Lilli Tagger vs Viktorija Golubic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52c33eb1e3f987427cbb17c2b8f7cf4ae5223be96426a7dbf6bc443ad7133465
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Taggerof Tagger, Golubic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tagger | 48c | 6,517$3,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,357.28 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golubic | 51c | 5,555$2,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,826.06 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Tagger | 58c | 1,355$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.74 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Golubic | 54c | 1,272$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.28 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Tagger | 26c | 1,048$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.71 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Tagger | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Tagger | 34c | 1,014$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.24 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf5…e611backed Tagger | 50c | 869.46$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.28 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Golubic | 48c | 840.34$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Tagger | 37c | 831.17$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.63 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd44…b2e2backed Golubic | 44c | 697.96$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.52 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Golubic | 47c | 639.96$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.78 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Tagger | 58c | 605.88$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.88 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +7.6wins | +0.23per pick | 31cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Golubic | 49c | 569.22$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.92 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Golubic | 52c | 528.85$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Golubic | 6c | 518.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Tagger | 18c | 514.74$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.54 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Golubic | 53c | 498.11$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Golubic | 41c | 483.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Tagger | 71c | 476$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.04 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Tagger | 58c | 378.22$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Tagger | 73c | 375$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Golubic | 37c | 350.18$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.32 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Golubic | 42c | 341.38$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.8 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Golubic | 60c | 325$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48d…5182backed Golubic | 63c | 320$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 245 | 58.8%144 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…1a99backed Tagger | 37c | 300$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8b…3047backed Tagger | 59c | 289.31$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.62 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Golubic | 50c | 272.5$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.02 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed Tagger | 34c | 265$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.95 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Golubic | 32c | 261.76$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.28 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Tagger | 38c | 240$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.8 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7486…08bbbacked Golubic | 37c | 200$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c63…a2f9backed Tagger | 31c | 162.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.19 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x652f…e2afbacked Tagger | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b1…c973backed Tagger | 29c | 125$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.45 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Golubic | 61c | 122.73$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Golubic | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdf…edf9backed Golubic | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Golubic | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Tagger | 40c | 74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Golubic | 63c | 71.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Tagger | 30c | 62.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Golubic | 49c | 60.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf72…a19fbacked Tagger | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.9wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Golubic | 65c | 59.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 52 | 75%39 W · 13 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabe9…cabbbacked Golubic | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Golubic | 65c | 49.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Tagger | 28c | 41.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…ab82backed Tagger | 50c | 40.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a74…c3e4backed Tagger | 64c | 38.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 69cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…9e9fbacked Golubic | 72c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69b3…f352backed Tagger | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be2…6b2abacked Golubic | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…56cebacked Golubic | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Golubic | 40c | 30.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x393e…7b02backed Golubic | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc256…aba2backed Golubic | 73c | 24.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefe1…84b0backed Golubic | 66c | 18.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Tagger | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.