South American Leagues · resolved market
Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf36a90063b4b93731f6c87439c50ca81a298fdedba76ee3046a4941bc962bc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 25c | 2,801$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.08 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 71c | 2,069$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.13 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 1,536$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.85 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 66c | 1,506$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.22 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 34c | 671.07$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.6 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 33c | 629.83$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.71 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 18c | 556.24$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 14c | 512.56$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 16c | 486.86$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 31c | 397.18$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.31 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 68c | 292.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.08 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Under | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Under | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 3cpaid | +837.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…a952backed Under | 17c | 214.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 33c | 200$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Under | 17c | 152.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 70c | 100.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…68a8backed Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 16c | 97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 70c | 86.51$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…b749backed Under | 20c | 86.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 74c | 81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 71c | 52.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 34c | 44.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 76c | 43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 35c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 33c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 66c | 20.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5this page
- Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 0.5Over won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5Over won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5Over won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 4.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-2.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5)Grêmio FBPA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.