TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,697
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,740

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,697 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbce5…02f1backed Under59c3,200$1,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,885.991250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c2,461$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.678,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over42c2,379$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.0615945.9%73 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over62c1,838$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.992,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under30c1,536$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.015,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under60c1,529$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91623549.4%116 W · 119 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over47c1,330$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.19763.9%62 W · 35 L+13.3wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+47.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under47c1,082$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.391553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf80f…34a9backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104553.3%24 W · 21 L+7.5wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+35.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under58c959.43$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.471,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x437b…fab1backed Over40c817.66$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.235747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc283…b876backed Over42c766.16$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.377922.8%18 W · 61 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over72c691.67$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.672878.6%22 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick71cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under58c625.03$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.521,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over52c577.48$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.4917440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over74c576.95$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.0121765.4%142 W · 75 L+24.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under58c572.38$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.983,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa4…8968backed Over72c555.56$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.562100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over53c426.66$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.664647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4571…a952backed Under43c316.58$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under54c309.56$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.322,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over39c302.31$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.4117251.7%89 W · 83 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under44c269.5$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.611,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.931745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over41c240.54$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.9215041.3%62 W · 88 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over55c224.31$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.9457540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9859…1650backed Over41c219.62$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.58520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-51.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under51c212.16$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.411,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over43c211.56$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.8433560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over43c211.56$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.8465058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa163…ce0abacked Over72c208.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.333354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Under11c198.21$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.21421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6844…7633backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Over40c187.5$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over40c184.1$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.461145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over44c182.21$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.151,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over40c178.5$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9926965.4%176 W · 93 L+48.9wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+40.5%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xb253…26febacked Under30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505162.7%32 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9376951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over44c138.92$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.4331355.6%174 W · 139 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over43c132.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4120059.5%119 W · 81 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over44c132.09$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3915768.2%107 W · 50 L+21.8wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.056056.7%34 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Over42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.055556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over49c118.11$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5120665%134 W · 72 L+24.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under59c115.25$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed Over42c110.15$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.891752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over59c104$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.642560%15 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.21per pick42cpaid-58.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6014844.6%66 W · 82 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Under10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103112.9%4 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over41c96.53$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9924665.9%162 W · 84 L+26.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Over38c96.39$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7610450%52 W · 52 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over38c94$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.282,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Over44c90.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.952825%7 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba6f…1bc0backed Over52c90.43$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over54c90$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.730858.4%180 W · 128 L+11.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under53c82.27$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3653836.8%198 W · 340 L-24.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over41c81.7$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.233658.3%196 W · 140 L+32.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Over38c70.68$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8212945%58 W · 71 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over38c65.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7915247.4%72 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcadd…c7e6backed Over65c65.7$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.91752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over40c59.05$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.433259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over38c55$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.12,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ec…68a8backed Over72c55$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.41566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Under49c53.06$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over44c52.27$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2714352.4%75 W · 68 L+15.2wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+21.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfa5b…9b61backed Over38c51.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.225244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under35c51.62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.811,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.284235.7%15 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc36…0665backed Over70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2978756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf804…8758backed Over40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe766…7843backed Under31c47.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.943745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160c…185cbacked Over38c47.45$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.521266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+67.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under33c45.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1389846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed Over42c44.71$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.931353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+61.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9fc…c14abacked Under43c41.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under40c40.76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1825866.3%171 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x453c…b749backed Under34c40.64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.982123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over62c40.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.32850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bf0…4eadbacked Over50c40.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Over63c39.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.64766%31 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Over39c39.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.782653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b5a…39e0backed Over39c38.92$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.742969%20 W · 9 L+8.0wins+0.28per pick41cpaid+95.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over72c38.58$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7645746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over57c37.07$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9451750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1400…765dbacked Over40c35.7$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.42955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9355…038dbacked Over73c34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.141050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb435…b97cbacked Over63c30.6$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.256453.1%34 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdeb4…9854backed Over40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x056b…5a03backed Over38c29.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.383256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under37c28.47$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.42456.7%3 W · 42 L-16.3wins-0.36per pick43cpaid-90.1%equal weight24-0.23 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155251.9%27 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Under59c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7511864.4%76 W · 42 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcee7…14dcbacked Over40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+117.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.