South American Leagues · resolved market
Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbbb2696fa1de5810999245fb2181974eb47a4ae25371d129db247c4d0f12caa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 28c | 1,390$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.15 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 1,387$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.92 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 70c | 715.14$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.39 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 50c | 660$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…d698backed Yes | 79c | 635.11$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.11 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…ce0abacked Yes | 74c | 455.27$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.03 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 51c | 392.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 34c | 300.48$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.28 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed No | 8c | 289.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 49c | 286.18$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.95 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Yes | 63c | 228.9$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.9 | 88 | 87.5%77 W · 11 L | +19.9wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +42%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 48c | 131.47$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.34 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 52c | 117.57$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 49c | 100.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 52c | 99.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 52c | 84.54$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 50c | 49.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…b749backed No | 24c | 46.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 49c | 44.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6618…3733backed Yes | 48c | 29.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…39e0backed Yes | 63c | 24.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +8.0wins | +0.28per pick | 41cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7df1backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 0.5Over won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5Over won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5Over won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5Over won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 4.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-2.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5)Grêmio FBPA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.