South American Leagues · resolved market
Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02cc0a66ca91df825e69ef6d353b91a6922957cfcf93f0237f6e17e04a820db5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 26c | 19,240$5,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,237.54 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 74c | 11,213$8,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,297.43 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 10,575$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,700.4 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 22c | 3,706$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,890.55 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 74c | 1,818$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.48 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 21c | 1,651$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.97 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 25c | 1,205$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.48 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 77c | 1,129$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.38 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 71c | 1,085$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.07 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 73c | 882.69$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.42 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 36c | 390$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 64c | 371.9$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.11 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed Over | 26c | 354.62$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.81 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 28c | 352.84$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.52 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 21c | 333.3$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.96 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 15c | 281.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.91 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 66c | 272.46$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 70c | 268.5$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.26 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 77c | 263.61$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.7 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Under | 11c | 247.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 23c | 242.6$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.18 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Under | 75c | 240.11$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 27c | 218.3$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.35 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 79c | 197.6$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.1 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 59c | 186$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.88 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 37c | 161$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.43 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…39e0backed Over | 19c | 154.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.68 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +8.0wins | +0.28per pick | 41cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 80c | 150$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 36c | 122.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…7af0backed Under | 65c | 110$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9b…e299backed Over | 37c | 84.32$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 61c | 83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Over | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 66c | 72.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 72c | 67.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 22c | 60$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 76c | 56.43$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 25c | 56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +67%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 20c | 53.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 77c | 52.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 78c | 49.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 70c | 48.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 30c | 44.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 73c | 43.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 36c | 43.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Under | 58c | 42.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…b749backed Over | 31c | 38.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 71c | 38.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…7843backed Under | 42c | 35.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 58c | 34.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 64c | 29.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7272backed Under | 76c | 26.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 71c | 25.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 55c | 19.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | -16.3wins | -0.36per pick | 43cpaid | -90.1%equal weight | 24-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed Under | 71c | 18.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae3…93c3backed Under | 71c | 18.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5this page
- Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 0.5Over won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5Over won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5Over won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 4.5Under won
- Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-2.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5)Grêmio FBPA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.