Will Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f376c65162e76325b95b6fe4afe6772c44c07863ecc57be7816e52c3b4a4991

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: May 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $8,664
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $10,139

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,664 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4060…c1c4backed Yes	53c	850.61$453 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$397.91	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xbb75…f496backed No	4c	750$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	42	9.5%4 W · 38 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe4…22a5backed No	46c	446.56$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xac4b…201abacked Yes	75c	394.99$294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.7	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+55.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	52c	341.6$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.23	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Yes	62c	320.31$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.31	99	36.4%36 W · 63 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3767…5e7cbacked Yes	44c	249.99$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.99	61	45.9%28 W · 33 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb147…beedbacked Yes	50c	201.01$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.01	263	43%113 W · 150 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e9…63d0backed Yes	60c	200$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	55	61.8%34 W · 21 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed No	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	345	33.6%116 W · 229 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No	8c	197.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.84	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xceab…dce7backed No	39c	186.88$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.6	544	50.6%275 W · 269 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafab…8991backed No	60c	182.13$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.07	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+2.2wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x10ec…68a8backed No	54c	171.46$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.13	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed No	60c	166.01$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	87	28.7%25 W · 62 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01b4…e5b8backed Yes	64c	155.44$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.44	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf40d…a311backed No	48c	151.77$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.7	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.7wins	+0.24per pick	48cpaid	+68.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca9…bbcdbacked Yes	38c	130.77$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.77	122	49.2%60 W · 62 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes	48c	117.98$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.27	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	-3.0wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b9e…6838backed No	40c	99.38$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No	16c	98.34$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.57	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed No	61c	82.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.05	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f1e…4086backed Yes	57c	60.08$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.08	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+71.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eec…8f96backed No	58c	59.79$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.85	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2b4…3c4dbacked No	45c	55.56$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b42…8086backed Yes	46c	54.35$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.35	47	59.6%28 W · 19 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40a4…c6a9backed Yes	73c	53.11$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.33	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63a4…ef1abacked Yes	39c	51.28$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.28	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.20per pick	46cpaid	+53.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a07…9dedbacked Yes	47c	51$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.8	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd12…116abacked Yes	55c	47.27$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.27	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Yes	58c	46.96$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.81	215	65.1%140 W · 75 L	+16.4wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f4f…1bd9backed Yes	63c	40$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-18%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b2f…1c0fbacked No	45c	38$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.1	48	64.6%31 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	66cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…c8f9backed Yes	54c	36.98$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.01	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d9e…4debbacked Yes	54c	36.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaee2…e71fbacked No	52c	34.86$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.13	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ee…6908backed Yes	55c	32.44$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.6	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4692…242cbacked No	58c	31.88$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.49	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c5…48bfbacked No	65c	21.5$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.65per pick	65cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6a1…ab16backed Yes	64c	15.63$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.63	69	68.1%47 W · 22 L	+7.5wins	+0.11per pick	57cpaid	+17%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x333d…75abbacked Yes	78c	15$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.3	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event