Fifa International · resolved market
Will Bento be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d3de6ad4c641d606a009a8b3c643853e286d2e25cb708e8ee0c517cee2b356c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,078$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5424…3292backed No | 53c | 1,333$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…60ecbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e4…2743backed Yes | 51c | 960.81$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec5…def4backed Yes | 2c | 716.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 55c | 701.3$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.51 | 218 | 37.2%81 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…5196backed Yes | 2c | 695.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 18cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked No | 45c | 654.45$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.29 | 180 | 40%72 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 4c | 577.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…9d93backed Yes | 57c | 521.82$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 13c | 475$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 228 | 34.6%79 W · 149 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…f9aebacked No | 24c | 463.25$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…dce7backed Yes | 58c | 431.87$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.21 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…eb15backed No | 29c | 419.31$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +103%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcc…ea4ebacked Yes | 62c | 418.94$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 52c | 385.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.19 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 7c | 356.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eab…7badbacked Yes | 54c | 314.24$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x940b…e06bbacked No | 36c | 280.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +127%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82b6…57bebacked No | 39c | 266.21$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac0…55f3backed No | 54c | 240.55$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.55 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4e…6478backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Yes | 50c | 199.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed No | 25c | 197.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.01 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 7c | 189.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 26c | 163$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.03 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344c…c49dbacked No | 33c | 138.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.74 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d10…d905backed No | 49c | 120.92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…4debbacked No | 57c | 97.03$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9e…6838backed No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 51c | 60.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 198 | 62.1%123 W · 75 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4f…1bd9backed No | 26c | 60.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7975…d3f7backed Yes | 35c | 57.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…c1c4backed No | 21c | 52.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d34…7c14backed No | 51c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6e…3e13backed No | 62c | 47.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…8201backed No | 24c | 46.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2f…1c0fbacked No | 37c | 46.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ed…0c1dbacked No | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe61b…da04backed No | 43c | 38.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 53c | 36.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 73c | 34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 198 | 74.7%148 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 44c | 29.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 205 | 61%125 W · 80 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25a6…1d51backed No | 47c | 27.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…5795backed Yes | 57c | 24.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…665fbacked Yes | 64c | 22.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…0559backed No | 52c | 20.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb273…6d8ebacked Yes | 62c | 19.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bento be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?this page
- Will Andrey Santos be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?No won
- Will Danilo Barbosa da Silva be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?No won
- Will Danilo Luiz da Silva be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?Yes won
- Will Douglas Santos be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?Yes won
- Will Ederson be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?Yes won
- Will Endrick be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?Yes won
- Will Fabinho be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?Yes won
- Will Gabriel Martinelli be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?Yes won
- Will Igor Thiago be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?Yes won
- Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?No won
- Will Leo Pereira be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?Yes won
- Will Lucas Paquetá be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?Yes won
- Will Luiz Henrique be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?Yes won
- Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?Yes won
- Will Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?Yes won
- Will Richarlison be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?No won
- Will Rodrygo be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?No won
- Will Savinho be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?No won
- Will Wesley be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?Yes won
- Will Éder Militão be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.