Other European Leagues · resolved market
SC Heerenveen vs. NAC Breda: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8e98a173aa9248425fa196493495a17ea1cafd4772bfd6622f29e638488bb0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 40c | 1,900$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.99 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 37c | 1,695$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.34 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Over | 62c | 1,435$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.3 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 1,152$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.74 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Over | 63c | 571.43$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.43 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 63c | 473.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.29 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Over | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 125 | 30.4%38 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Under | 36c | 359.38$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.38 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3667…75ffbacked Over | 62c | 299$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed Over | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Over | 63c | 240$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 73cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a8…c43bbacked Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 35c | 162.85$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…2cf8backed Over | 62c | 100.66$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…68a8backed Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Under | 36c | 88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 63c | 79.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Over | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 62c | 46.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b5…49d5backed Over | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc1…830fbacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…db97backed Over | 64c | 23.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a85…a309backed Over | 64c | 16.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Heerenveen vs. NAC Breda: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: SC Heerenveen (-0.5)NAC Breda won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.