Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Santa Clara win on 2025-11-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7071b2727b3f6ffee252bfe4156d07da3bacdacdf9b7ff946e189e3f587f62b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 1,099$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.83 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 23c | 999.94$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Yes | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 2c | 619.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 73cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed No | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 25c | 143.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…aaecbacked No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 80c | 125.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb1…6240backed Yes | 25c | 121.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 25c | 119.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Yes | 15c | 85.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…3e5bbacked No | 77c | 80.73$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 20c | 68.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 98 | 11.2%11 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 30c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 70c | 65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…68a8backed No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91f…5d15backed No | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…8150backed No | 78c | 38.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6d…a980backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf47e…5031backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Santa Clara win on 2025-11-03?this page
- Will Gil Vicente FC vs. CD Santa Clara end in a draw?No won
- Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2025-11-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.