Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2025-11-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda804d80c3a4bd17df99f4e1527fd05ca96518394e17249ef70a97d35c7c6e26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,962
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xebf1…1d5dbacked Yes | 60c | 1,676$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 38c | 1,238$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.67 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 26c | 1,040$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.21 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 828$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.97 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 52c | 791.05$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.31 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 74c | 740$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.6 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…a883backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57dd…6ab4backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 23cpaid | +214.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…3e5bbacked No | 77c | 168.83$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 79cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…50bcbacked Yes | 23c | 130$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Yes | 23c | 110$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…253cbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf934…8858backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked No | 14c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 74c | 85$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…c5c8backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Yes | 23c | 58.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…610ebacked Yes | 24c | 55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…e401backed Yes | 24c | 45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x148d…9001backed No | 76c | 45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…5cf9backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 42c | 24.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce0…b195backed Yes | 78c | 22.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…2988backed Yes | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 50c | 20.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2025-11-06?this page
- Will Noah FA vs. SK Sigma Olomouc end in a draw?No won
- Will Noah FA win on 2025-11-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.