Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-10-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68867d87da8a9775d2bc51c0e8d12bfa861ee2ff72d91ec2884d26f530f91d4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 664$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.67 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 33c | 614.74$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.03 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 74c | 384.62$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.62 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0727…ec27backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc1…716bbacked Yes | 26c | 384$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.16 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 375.87$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.65 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…3e5bbacked No | 74c | 215.03$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 26c | 215.03$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.12 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 28c | 207$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.04 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 29c | 195.84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 9c | 125.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 71c | 119.29$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.08 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 66c | 91.57$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 28c | 78.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.57 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 41c | 72.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 150 | 71.3%107 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…ee60backed Yes | 68c | 60.66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed Yes | 27c | 55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Yes | 28c | 46.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 59c | 22.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-10-26?this page
- Will AJ Auxerre vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?No won
- Will AJ Auxerre win on 2025-10-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.