Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2025-10-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5917e30d25db54bb85a268f367d27a62197211ddfaef5bfe419e45d3e6aa571c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,200 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 54c | 19,928$10,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,167.08 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 793$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.69 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Yes | 46c | 763.97$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 12c | 700$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 54c | 607.36$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.28 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…8e1dbacked Yes | 45c | 442$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 328.43$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.84 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 67c | 322.44$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.09 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 61c | 147.57$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 54c | 137.13$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 44c | 118$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 21c | 83.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 79c | 83.33$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 39c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf8…cb04backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AJ Auxerre win on 2025-10-26?this page
- Will AJ Auxerre vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?No won
- Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-10-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.