South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2025-10-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d4febaa3ee967ec8cae296306d9aef4e9171dc7968389e9ff3b06e6cf9de7cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 26c | 3,460$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.08 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 75c | 1,618$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.5 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x158f…2bb3backed No | 79c | 1,500$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf2…76f0backed Yes | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…e181backed Yes | 22c | 1,395$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.82 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 23c | 903.38$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.12 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 21c | 800.15$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.72 | 144 | 22.9%33 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 77c | 657.74$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.39 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 611$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.02 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…c9d9backed No | 79c | 481.65$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0acd…ea40backed Yes | 21c | 480$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 24c | 445.52$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.42 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 24c | 424.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 21c | 414.79$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.11 | 162 | 34.6%56 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 76c | 316.42$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.85 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f377backed Yes | 78c | 266$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 78c | 224$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 124 | 65.3%81 W · 43 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 20c | 149.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed No | 71c | 134.16$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +3,280.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994f…2f7dbacked Yes | 78c | 130$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…64fcbacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddb…4700backed No | 80c | 114.27$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…3e5bbacked No | 80c | 112.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.15 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Yes | 23c | 95.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 23c | 91.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a1…f6f1backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 26c | 84.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 14c | 78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 88 | 8%7 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +43%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc99d…5d6bbacked Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 78c | 49.24$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…b7bfbacked Yes | 80c | 13.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2025-10-20?this page
- Will CA Tigre vs. CA Barracas Central end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Tigre win on 2025-10-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.