South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tigre win on 2025-10-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x015026a8745746bb909e576fe6adf55b9792450c37ae424a2fbc0c61119e59bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 53c | 25,000$13,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,650 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 47c | 14,990$7,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,045.23 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 46c | 9,733$4,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,476.99 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 3,078$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.31 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 45c | 1,200$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes | 26c | 1,191$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.49 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 42c | 1,034$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.64 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 59c | 823.17$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.43 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…b28fbacked Yes | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6737…2e6abacked Yes | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1190…936abacked No | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 55c | 351.81$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.31 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 39c | 240.27$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.71 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…e181backed Yes | 8c | 224.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a61…cb57backed Yes | 42c | 223.1$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 61c | 170$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 37c | 110$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa555…f4afbacked No | 53c | 69.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7989…f7c3backed Yes | 48c | 68.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf25e…bb81backed Yes | 49c | 61.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…bc43backed No | 53c | 60.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…475abacked Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203e…a9b5backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed No | 51c | 36.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Yes | 41c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 42c | 24.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tigre win on 2025-10-20?this page
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2025-10-20?No won
- Will CA Tigre vs. CA Barracas Central end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.