Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will KRC Genk win on 2025-11-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dccf4be3b0ac5ca03865c83f18478919284715afa2c429dcee870b12229ce78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 24c | 6,918$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.16 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 21c | 2,059$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.34 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f84…dd89backed Yes | 19c | 1,316$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.79 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 19c | 1,017$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.99 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…eb16backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 19c | 809.82$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.05 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 80c | 778.52$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.92 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf7…9189backed Yes | 18c | 557.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked No | 79c | 500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 478$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.63 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed No | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 41c | 378.85$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.55 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 19c | 368.42$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.42 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 23c | 314.38$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.09 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4063…0c2bbacked No | 5c | 299.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 20c | 239.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.75 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 19c | 228.42$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 20c | 224.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb315…d6c9backed No | 19c | 211.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf20…f904backed Yes | 17c | 178.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…50bcbacked Yes | 18c | 170$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.4 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 50c | 167.86$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.93 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 18c | 151.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.3 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 25c | 144.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.45 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…b6bdbacked No | 75c | 119.6$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…3e5bbacked No | 80c | 119.44$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 79cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 21c | 119.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.24 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Yes | 19c | 101.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.18 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 15c | 93.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e3febacked Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked No | 53c | 65.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 19c | 53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 385 | 26.2%101 W · 284 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…8921backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed No | 46c | 21.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KRC Genk win on 2025-11-06?this page
- Will SC Braga vs. KRC Genk end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Braga win on 2025-11-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.