La Liga · resolved market
Will Alaves win on 2025-10-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8922d9e4111ef9531075ade8d84addd87bf9996e9e5807a9db3064250c427459
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 25c | 2,050$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.5 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 75c | 1,812$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.91 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes | 24c | 938.46$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 74c | 629.43$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.66 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes | 15c | 556.65$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.43 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1231…2a02backed Yes | 12c | 413.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 391.55$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.35 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 76c | 361.25$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.45 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 17c | 323.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 75c | 280.12$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.96 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x268c…a03abacked Yes | 19c | 211.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 20c | 204.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -56%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa262…c8babacked Yes | 26c | 95.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 75c | 93.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…3e5bbacked No | 76c | 82.54$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 24c | 82.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 74c | 72.7$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Yes | 29c | 58.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…c02abacked No | 75c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3407…897ebacked Yes | 25c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed No | 76c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa288…5d20backed No | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 76c | 28.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb298…9862backed No | 74c | 24.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…ec07backed No | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alaves win on 2025-10-26?this page
- Will Rayo Vallecano vs. Alaves end in a draw?No won
- Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-10-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.