TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-10-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,741
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,379

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,741 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No57c30,000$17,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,077.0417248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Yes43c24,584$10,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,012.662250%11 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked No57c10,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,699.994942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.975253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes43c4,240$1,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,412.264,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes44c3,695$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,069.885841.4%24 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Yes46c2,482$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340.0410956.9%62 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No56c2,392$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,347.5215750.3%79 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No58c2,013$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.7227453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1203452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd14a…e912backed Yes44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.99837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed No67c1,311$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.177445.9%34 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb29c…8f19backed Yes12c999.99$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid+108.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bdd…ea84backed Yes35c889.3$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.012055%11 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No2c832.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.648143.2%35 W · 46 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+48.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0727…ec27backed Yes44c682.15$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.151241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes45c667$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.7327854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes39c508.11$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.113732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Yes44c499.97$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.493571.4%25 W · 10 L+8.7wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+57.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes16c499.79$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.824344.2%19 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6410…ee60backed Yes45c493.17$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.171346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1488…409dbacked Yes44c400$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2242951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No11c365.8$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.926930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No56c299.95$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.976331.7%20 W · 43 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x151f…807dbacked No76c291.47$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.522254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes37c264.95$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.0113045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…a205backed Yes44c263.64$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes34c250$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16512338.2%47 W · 76 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes32c237.5$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.53842.1%16 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bf7…9e9abacked Yes44c224.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.811428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-45.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No42c185.33$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2130743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x495f…06b0backed Yes44c185.24$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.242937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No14c182.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8329038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe45d…f77ebacked No56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.414465.9%29 W · 15 L+6.8wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+41.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes78c167.27$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.825872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No55c163.14$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7315851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d9b…eb8dbacked Yes34c150$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x268c…a03abacked Yes28c142.86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.861346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick34cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes43c129.09$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3153242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd136…9d35backed Yes24c126.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.461127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d77…b7bebacked Yes40c117.65$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.592729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07b2…ea62backed Yes38c116.37$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.481020%2 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed Yes44c113$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.281838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No56c104$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2435054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667241.7%30 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Yes44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.914247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes18c84.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.487440.5%30 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No64c80$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8517155%94 W · 77 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes45c79.69$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6760147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Yes32c78.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+229.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes34c74.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.253,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dd2…b035backed Yes20c73.52$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.52339.1%3 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-56%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Yes44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1811249.1%55 W · 57 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0521…cc4abacked Yes38c65.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.852544%11 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes23c65.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.224961.2%30 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8211559.1%68 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcb1…6240backed Yes45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.56966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+51.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ff8…3011backed Yes44c54.63$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.633063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+29.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x25b0…94ebbacked No56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.9wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-29.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xc3b9…c68cbacked Yes38c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dad…22c4backed Yes43c49$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.934100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+93.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b9e…4580backed Yes31c48.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.393151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.451353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6b…341cbacked Yes44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.45633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-36.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd02d…b9f4backed Yes44c42.16$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.61633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes43c41.86$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.867448.6%36 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b47…5286backed Yes44c41$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.96966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+35.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb195…6f85backed Yes49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.821060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+30.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e08…19cabacked Yes27c40$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.24271.4%30 W · 12 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7684…6bcdbacked Yes34c32.35$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.35475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+84.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf96…7d12backed Yes44c29.55$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.551070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+45.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x78f4…9e2fbacked Yes44c27.59$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.453100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes42c27.41$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.928055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No56c26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5631751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No56c26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5643255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b7d4backed No56c23.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…7724backed No57c22.44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed No58c22.41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321648.6%105 W · 111 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8432…2fd5backed No57c22.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.69250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8480…293ebacked No51c20.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.411250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5620…0d88backed No57c19.16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.