TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x300c…b72e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST2842.9%12 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+31.3%+$10.62
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$63.14
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$688Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+38.2%+$262.95
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$131.75
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$42.61
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+30.5%+$21.5
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+55.9%+$5.7
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$14.75
Spurs vs. Bullsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+58.1%+$34.16
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+139.7%+$42.48
Trail Blazers vs. Magicbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$33.91
Lakers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$42.85
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$16.44
Hornets vs. Heatbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$19.56
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$17.92
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+191.9%+$170.98
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$23.3
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$24.14
Hornets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+91.9%+$10.22
76ers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+278.2%+$91.03
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$40.37
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+483.8%+$113.76
Pistons vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$11.25
Jazz vs. Celticsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+620.5%+$64.85
Mavericks vs. Pistonsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$43.45
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick29cpaid+34.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+120%+$87.26
Kings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+186.8%+$22.67
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$23.01
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$145.97
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+509.7%+$122.24
Capitals vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$16.53
Kings vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$12.09
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+230%+$35.8
Predators vs. Rangersbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30.12
Blackhawks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$13.3
Rangers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$16.01
Wild vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15.91
Flyers vs. Predatorsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+194.1%+$44.7
Ducks vs. Starsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+289.1%+$40.15
Wild vs. Hurricanesbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$32.79
Blues vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$37.82
Canadiens vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+129.2%+$24.13
Flyers vs. Canadiensbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+100.2%+$80.55
Hurricanes vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12.48
All 19 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-71.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$16.66
Will Manchester City FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$48.58
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$42.83
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50.46
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$63.45
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$23.11
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+130.6%+$39.93
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15.21
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$30.4
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$21.74
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$35.54
Will Juventus win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.47
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$14.03
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cowboys vs. Bearsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.82
Steelers vs. Patriotsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$17.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$16.69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.