College Football · resolved market
Spread: Georgia (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bb6cf91774519ce053b19be910ff01e1dc17e8a6855f9b04a4c2be4f5d3c821
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgiaof Georgia, Mississippi State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Georgia | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Mississippi State | 50c | 19,800$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,900 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Mississippi State | 50c | 10,438$5,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,211.17 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7189…b454backed Georgia | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Mississippi State | 49c | 9,817$4,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,810.38 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Mississippi State | 48c | 1,337$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.77 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Mississippi State | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Georgia | 50c | 1,149$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.18 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b5…b3cabacked Georgia | 52c | 960$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.8 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa8…c219backed Mississippi State | 49c | 931$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Georgia | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Mississippi State | 50c | 493.06$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.53 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Georgia | 50c | 440$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef70…7a82backed Georgia | 51c | 327$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4420…5bc7backed Georgia | 51c | 311$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb1…6de2backed Georgia | 51c | 289$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Mississippi State | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x106c…b895backed Mississippi State | 50c | 215$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7e…4adebacked Georgia | 50c | 206$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5384…9d80backed Georgia | 52c | 204.33$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Mississippi State | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Georgia | 52c | 192.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.69 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Georgia | 48c | 190$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked Mississippi State | 52c | 190$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Mississippi State | 51c | 189.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Georgia | 49c | 172$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.38 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Georgia | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mississippi State | 54c | 92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Georgia | 49c | 68.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…b17abacked Mississippi State | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad21…cefcbacked Mississippi State | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Georgia | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Mississippi State | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Mississippi State | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd47b…c715backed Mississippi State | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Georgia | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…bc36backed Georgia | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c9…f8d9backed Georgia | 48c | 26.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6526…9c80backed Mississippi State | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x398a…95b7backed Mississippi State | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1da…d3c7backed Mississippi State | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54d…cce3backed Mississippi State | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Georgia (-9.5)this page
- Georgia vs. Mississippi StateGeorgia won
- Georgia vs. Mississippi State: O/U 56.5Over won
- O/U 57.5Over won
- Spread: Georgia (-8.5)Georgia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.