Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-10-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69e7d0a6c65aedb82640592321e1247bde6c954078c7bfbf4d795ffaaa605032
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 4,696$3,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.61 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 63c | 4,077$2,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.73 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb655…6895backed Yes | 38c | 2,869$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 43c | 1,901$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.72 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 11c | 1,689$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.13 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5477…275cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,594$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 61c | 1,343$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.77 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 40c | 1,282$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.74 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 57c | 962$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.66 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Yes | 37c | 599.89$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.96 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 38c | 531.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2365…af90backed Yes | 38c | 486.84$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5d…f4e1backed Yes | 38c | 463.16$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 40c | 446.38$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.61 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…19b2backed Yes | 38c | 321.05$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 27c | 314.81$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 62c | 299.96$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…2501backed No | 61c | 288.52$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 30c | 263.35$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.89 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 58c | 261$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.84 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 36c | 199.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes | 18c | 189$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed No | 64c | 187.5$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.24per pick | 69cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 18c | 143.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 107.64$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 63c | 92$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 58c | 78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 39c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc487…dc86backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5d…d1a1backed No | 62c | 62.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…bc36backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -46%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 40c | 48.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d27…c460backed Yes | 40c | 47.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 36c | 43.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed1…e492backed No | 62c | 41.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 40c | 39.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 60c | 39.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…66c8backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 38c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 243 | 22.2%54 W · 189 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 63c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-10-05?this page
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-10-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.