College Football · resolved market
Spread: SMU Mustangs (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29c2b39fde31bc943449699913a94f638f9a98d9276110127757d4a5d6ad4ed0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SMU Mustangsof SMU Mustangs, Boston College
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $265,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $295,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $265,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed SMU Mustangs | 49c | 78,887$38,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,313.17 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed SMU Mustangs | 50c | 58,520$29,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,260.15 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Boston College | 51c | 46,000$23,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,460 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Boston College | 50c | 45,521$22,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,912.89 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Boston College | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,400 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed SMU Mustangs | 49c | 27,107$13,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,824.57 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Boston College | 50c | 20,306$10,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,149.94 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Boston College | 51c | 20,000$10,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,250 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked SMU Mustangs | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…f152backed Boston College | 51c | 19,998$10,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,226.46 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed SMU Mustangs | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,650 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked SMU Mustangs | 50c | 10,404$5,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,236.42 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Boston College | 51c | 8,600$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed SMU Mustangs | 49c | 6,669$3,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400.94 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Boston College | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Boston College | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Boston College | 51c | 3,940$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Boston College | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked SMU Mustangs | 49c | 2,624$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.58 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…371bbacked SMU Mustangs | 50c | 2,000$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Boston College | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8ae8backed SMU Mustangs | 50c | 1,700$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Boston College | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Boston College | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Boston College | 51c | 980$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Boston College | 52c | 561$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.31 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked SMU Mustangs | 48c | 521$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.85 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Boston College | 51c | 408.33$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.33 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…1889backed Boston College | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa467…4d4bbacked Boston College | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…2e69backed SMU Mustangs | 49c | 384$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b4…0512backed SMU Mustangs | 50c | 333.46$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Boston College | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…a537backed Boston College | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed SMU Mustangs | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked Boston College | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Boston College | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Boston College | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked SMU Mustangs | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed SMU Mustangs | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Boston College | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Boston College | 51c | 93.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…b033backed SMU Mustangs | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Boston College | 49c | 50.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…5286backed SMU Mustangs | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…bc36backed SMU Mustangs | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47b…c715backed Boston College | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417d…62c7backed SMU Mustangs | 51c | 29.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Boston College | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed SMU Mustangs | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d15…6914backed SMU Mustangs | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SMU Mustangs (-10.5)this page
- O/U 55.5Over won
- SMU Mustangs vs. Boston CollegeSMU Mustangs won
- SMU Mustangs vs. Boston College: O/U 54.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.