NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f7d1716d3ad33170e0dc4a97f0319ee899436490ab67d89a053f2eafc57523b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb530…4422backed Over | 46c | 11,400$5,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,156 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 49c | 9,320$4,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,753.16 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 51c | 4,900$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.13 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 4,497$2,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.38 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a8…c0eebacked Over | 46c | 3,775$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ac…5befbacked Under | 54c | 3,700$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb28…598fbacked Under | 54c | 3,700$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32c3…f531backed Under | 54c | 3,700$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x433a…3bd8backed Under | 54c | 3,700$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a95…000bbacked Under | 54c | 3,700$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Under | 2c | 1,952$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 49c | 1,142$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.42 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f0…72b0backed Over | 46c | 1,080$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…6e64backed Over | 46c | 1,080$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda6…e5f3backed Over | 47c | 679$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Over | 50c | 511.08$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.54 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8069…22cdbacked Over | 48c | 486$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.72 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Under | 61c | 385$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.1 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Over | 49c | 273.37$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.09 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…4694backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 59c | 210$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.9 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 48c | 199.82$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.91 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Under | 66c | 167.29$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9a…5b99backed Under | 45c | 166.76$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f1…1ec7backed Over | 49c | 99.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 53c | 77.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 70c | 75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Under | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf57…053bbacked Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…bc36backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…5286backed Over | 48c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5this page
- Sabres vs. BruinsBruins won
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)Sabres won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.