Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Fredericia win on 2025-10-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe36f3debd46e61a57860a46646bcaf4d92bdfbc327c28aa304cf462a5a180b9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,407$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 22c | 1,724$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.35 | 126 | 13.5%17 W · 109 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 1,436$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.53 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 79c | 469.12$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.11 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…9baabacked Yes | 23c | 376.78$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 21c | 354.63$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.47 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…9186backed No | 79c | 310.89$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…bc36backed Yes | 22c | 309.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked No | 78c | 308.71$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 77c | 232$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…f80abacked Yes | 23c | 113.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 79c | 28.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94d…7041backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Fredericia win on 2025-10-20?this page
- Will Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. FC Fredericia end in a draw?No won
- Will Sønderjyske Fodbold win on 2025-10-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.