Champions League · resolved market
Juventus FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b609ab0176149490a5201abbe25ea8417fb99217b1e6045b397065b13a9f5d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 48c | 5,674$2,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950.68 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 4,305$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,271.81 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 46c | 1,250$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.49 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5478backed Under | 49c | 1,010$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +174.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…cfb9backed Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb15b…474ebacked Over | 53c | 528.3$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…cba3backed Under | 48c | 526$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 46c | 279$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.66 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 47c | 246.35$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.8 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf88…3ed6backed Over | 68c | 190$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0efd…a51cbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Over | 47c | 161.31$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.93 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…2791backed Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Over | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Over | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…8e95backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…1876backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6544…4b74backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…7eaabacked Over | 61c | 91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1973…9fb5backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 54c | 66.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc585…3212backed Over | 54c | 63.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe669…28b6backed Under | 31c | 55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83f4…d10cbacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb8…0231backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8be…2ef8backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 60%105 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15d…6a7cbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…bc36backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e8…2299backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…5a60backed Under | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…85cabacked Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Juventus FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5this page
- Juventus FC vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-0.5)Sporting CP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.