College Football · resolved market
Spread: West Virginia (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x809da84b5be5f2c1f9343ee6c40364c2988fade011ca27a9ab003877c0cbd4e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- West Virginiaof West Virginia, Colorado
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Colorado | 50c | 89,997$45,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,020.66 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed West Virginia | 50c | 86,699$43,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,457.85 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Colorado | 51c | 12,222$6,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,233.22 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Colorado | 51c | 10,000$5,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,098.2 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked West Virginia | 49c | 7,047$3,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,594.06 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed West Virginia | 49c | 5,015$2,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,558.48 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed West Virginia | 51c | 3,549$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.85 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed West Virginia | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked West Virginia | 49c | 2,784$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.91 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Colorado | 49c | 2,000$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked West Virginia | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.24 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed West Virginia | 42c | 1,205$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.06 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fce…2229backed Colorado | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.06 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked West Virginia | 49c | 1,068$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.58 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked West Virginia | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed West Virginia | 50c | 741.86$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.35 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked West Virginia | 49c | 714$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.14 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed West Virginia | 50c | 447$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.65 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Colorado | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…0d78backed West Virginia | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked West Virginia | 50c | 260.09$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.05 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Colorado | 51c | 241.86$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.35 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5680…9305backed Colorado | 52c | 211.92$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed West Virginia | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed West Virginia | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed West Virginia | 50c | 200.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.2 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Colorado | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed West Virginia | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked West Virginia | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked West Virginia | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked Colorado | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed West Virginia | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed West Virginia | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f6…f838backed West Virginia | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…b033backed Colorado | 50c | 84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…0a46backed West Virginia | 50c | 77.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed West Virginia | 50c | 69.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6526…9c80backed Colorado | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c5…c8ddbacked West Virginia | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 54cpaid | -72%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…9c06backed Colorado | 50c | 35.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe175…39edbacked West Virginia | 51c | 30.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…bc36backed Colorado | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417d…62c7backed Colorado | 51c | 29.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed57…e0a0backed West Virginia | 50c | 28.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed West Virginia | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…019dbacked West Virginia | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0997…cadcbacked West Virginia | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe40f…3749backed West Virginia | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: West Virginia (-6.5)this page
- Colorado vs. West VirginiaWest Virginia won
- Colorado vs. West Virginia: O/U 52.5Under won
- Colorado vs. West Virginia: O/U 53.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.