Champions League · resolved market
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6340c3e5d0dc1aae2d2ca180769423464bdb106df2b087cf328dea4fd92615f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,604
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,604 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Over | 48c | 23,032$11,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,081.44 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 18,650$9,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,746.22 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c0…c6f4backed Over | 51c | 2,468$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…01c2backed Under | 49c | 2,447$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…2ca8backed Under | 49c | 2,335$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 48c | 2,150$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.5 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f62…64cabacked Over | 51c | 1,875$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 46c | 1,649$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.38 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4d…ad7bbacked Over | 51c | 1,357$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Over | 40c | 1,355$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.6 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…8aabbacked Under | 49c | 1,076$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5971…1960backed Over | 51c | 1,055$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 51c | 1,000$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.8 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 33c | 998.86$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.42 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…1c66backed Under | 49c | 897$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…cfb9backed Over | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed Under | 48c | 470$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.4 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Over | 53c | 407$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.12 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Over | 55c | 363.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -6.3wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 56c | 299.59$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.94 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 46c | 211.48$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.2 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cee…85dabacked Under | 48c | 208.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 57c | 192.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 52c | 150.34$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.17 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…e792backed Under | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2c26backed Under | 80c | 125.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Over | 33c | 118.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…7eaabacked Under | 69c | 112$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 48c | 111$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…8e95backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…bc36backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6544…4b74backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fc…4a59backed Under | 65c | 69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1973…9fb5backed Over | 57c | 63.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…253cbacked Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…5d1bbacked Under | 52c | 39.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…6565backed Under | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x231e…d081backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…1bdfbacked Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…3b65backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e34…f621backed Over | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5this page
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-0.5)AS Monaco FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.