Champions League · resolved market
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-0.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x338b0d530a61896d8e22d84c7e5ab5a8554d2335123924dbbb53aa98da8e68c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AS Monaco FCof FK Bodø/Glimt, AS Monaco FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f62…64cabacked AS Monaco FC | 55c | 5,014$2,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4d…ad7bbacked FK Bodø/Glimt | 45c | 4,487$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…1c66backed FK Bodø/Glimt | 45c | 2,486$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…2ca8backed AS Monaco FC | 55c | 1,959$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked FK Bodø/Glimt | 41c | 167.27$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked FK Bodø/Glimt | 42c | 149.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…1876backed AS Monaco FC | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fc…4a59backed AS Monaco FC | 58c | 77.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed AS Monaco FC | 59c | 59.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed FK Bodø/Glimt | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f6…2ad8backed AS Monaco FC | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb745…981bbacked AS Monaco FC | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-0.5)this page
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FK Bodø/Glimt vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.