South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2025-10-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0938b1476699b901067a3e365d82ac0f97d89629f4e0e42482153b5bdacde95d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Yes | 49c | 18,723$9,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,548.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 51c | 4,015$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.65 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed No | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…fbd6backed Yes | 52c | 1,800$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddac…f8d8backed No | 48c | 1,800$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 2c | 881.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 454.93$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.06 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4219…e435backed No | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 46c | 300.14$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.06 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed Yes | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfa…7e3fbacked Yes | 54c | 240$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes | 55c | 208.17$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.16 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0c…0a49backed Yes | 56c | 170$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d7…5af0backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 58c | 102.14$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…bc36backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…d0dfbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 29c | 35.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed No | 33c | 32.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…2f76backed Yes | 53c | 32.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe07c…551dbacked Yes | 71c | 24.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 88 | 29.5%26 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked Yes | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlético San Luis win on 2025-10-17?this page
- Will Atlas FC win on 2025-10-17?No won
- Will Atlético San Luis vs. Atlas FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.