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MLB · resolved market

Twins vs. Rockies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Twinsof Twins, Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$238,166
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$247,813

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,166 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x65e4…a3bdbacked Rockies31c193,899$60,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,108.610844.4%48 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Twins69c65,000$44,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,15022852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Twins69c48,510$33,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,038.2148254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Twins69c29,603$20,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,180.021,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Twins69c10,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,10024553.5%131 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20c2…1183backed Twins69c9,400$6,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,914250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Twins69c8,929$6,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,775.3938444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Twins69c5,600$3,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,757.3411057.3%63 W · 47 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Twins69c5,392$3,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,689.132,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Twins69c4,607$3,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,428.2126949.4%133 W · 136 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Twins69c4,000$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2401,15749.2%569 W · 588 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rockies28c3,916$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.899,86246.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L+40.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Rockies31c3,697$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.7297950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Twins73c3,018$2,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.282,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Rockies31c2,563$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.2738249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca4…fde7backed Twins68c2,400$1,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7646450%32 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8867…4bb7backed Twins69c2,330$1,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.321770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x105d…786abacked Rockies32c2,250$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.51850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Twins68c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64071751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Rockies7c1,900$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13027733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Twins69c1,812$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.5966645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4052…23d4backed Twins69c1,582$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Twins71c1,399$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.0413151.9%68 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Twins68c1,320$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.235,23556.8%2,972 W · 2,263 L+130.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Twins67c1,227$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.8376456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Rockies32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201,01251.2%518 W · 494 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc1f…ab66backed Twins76c837.14$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.142751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Rockies31c785.72$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.7224248.8%118 W · 124 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Rockies41c731.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Rockies31c700$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2171,29347.3%611 W · 682 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Twins68c676.5$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.481,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Rockies8c529.17$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3310527.6%29 W · 76 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Rockies33c506.06$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1672,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81d6…bec9backed Twins68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1606149.2%30 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Twins62c484.48$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.4853448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Rockies42c472.59$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20063252.7%333 W · 299 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Twins77c449.99$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.556451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Rockies32c443.98$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.0731346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Twins68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1862846.2%290 W · 338 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Rockies32c400$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12833852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Rockies33c383$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.392,05853.8%1,107 W · 951 L+33.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3839…e2eebacked Twins68c367.65$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.6510544.8%47 W · 58 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Rockies32c352.16$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.695648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Twins74c324.66$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.661,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed Twins68c310$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.223545.1%106 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Rockies32c306.25$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9841747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Rockies33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022646.5%105 W · 121 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Twins70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.712,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Twins70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.712,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Twins67c249.98$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.491,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Twins64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7251151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Twins68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Rockies31c199.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.331,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Rockies30c174.03$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2113843.5%60 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Rockies40c166.67$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.671,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x041b…ede5backed Twins65c153.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.642556%14 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Twins68c152$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6451955.3%287 W · 232 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Twins78c149.5$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.734,19750.2%2,106 W · 2,091 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Rockies33c140$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.21,05750.4%533 W · 524 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Rockies32c129.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5280680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Rockies28c129$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5465549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Rockies33c121.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4057545.9%264 W · 311 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Twins69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3125416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Twins69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313,31446.3%1,533 W · 1,781 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Twins69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3192754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Twins69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3166751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4917…16dabacked Rockies31c87.95$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.594456.8%25 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x261a…c166backed Rockies33c85.3$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.83636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-40.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb9a…ba53backed Twins69c82.33$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.521369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Twins56c74.07$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5943946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Rockies31c73.39$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.051,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Twins69c72.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0694455.3%522 W · 422 L-2.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb645…ca95backed Rockies32c67.72$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.673145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Rockies31c64.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x639e…a9d4backed Rockies32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014945%67 W · 82 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5fc…b47dbacked Rockies32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2fb…1187backed Twins69c62.32$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee4…b575backed Rockies33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051245.1%231 W · 281 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3df…f6ffbacked Rockies31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Rockies33c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba73…e538backed Twins68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.981070%7 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick41cpaid+68.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x26fa…39ecbacked Twins69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33e2…aec0backed Twins69c58.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.333455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fc8…32dfbacked Twins69c57.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.97540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-43.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x286e…c5fbbacked Twins69c57.12$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.719756.7%55 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bf7…cdb7backed Rockies35c55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2545749.7%227 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x881a…8d6dbacked Twins72c51.67$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.675263.5%33 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Rockies32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1617139.2%67 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Rockies32c43.51$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1266250.2%332 W · 330 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb58…0e11backed Rockies30c43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0142955%236 W · 193 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Twins68c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.81,40055.1%772 W · 628 L-29.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b35…e903backed Rockies31c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f2d…e348backed Twins68c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.818159.1%107 W · 74 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0d0…9890backed Twins69c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x251b…143cbacked Twins69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2321753.9%117 W · 100 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ed82backed Twins69c35.03$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8625952.5%136 W · 123 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ff…1eb6backed Twins68c33.82$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.821553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x794f…5818backed Twins69c31.88$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.889663.5%61 W · 35 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd6d…c504backed Rockies32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106459.4%38 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafbc…a8b5backed Twins68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4137552.5%197 W · 178 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.