WNBA · resolved market
Valkyries vs Sun
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cc005fe9fa773cb0afb5b61b220a4980868f79b1921c7e410dbd9262d8985c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunof Valkyries, Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Sun | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.99 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…5fd7backed Valkyries | 68c | 4,311$2,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,930.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Valkyries | 68c | 3,539$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.89 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Sun | 33c | 3,086$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.03 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Valkyries | 45c | 1,965$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Valkyries | 32c | 1,800$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Valkyries | 67c | 1,400$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39de…71f3backed Valkyries | 54c | 920$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Valkyries | 16c | 853.44$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.55 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -5.8wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Valkyries | 38c | 640.6$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.5 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Sun | 31c | 499.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.49 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Sun | 71c | 467.97$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.39 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sun | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sun | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.19 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sun | 33c | 298.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.61 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Sun | 53c | 278.19$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.49 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…3e59backed Valkyries | 45c | 201.97$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.56 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Sun | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Valkyries | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Valkyries | 34c | 146.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sun | 52c | 120.57$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Sun | 59c | 74.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Sun | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Valkyries | 61c | 33.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ff…1eb6backed Sun | 79c | 30.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Valkyries | 69c | 21.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.