TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Dream vs Sky

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dreamof Dream, Sky
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$131,475
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$139,436

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,475 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8fba…d08abacked Sky19c20,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8002152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Sky29c16,617$4,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,896.687440.5%30 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed Dream66c11,182$7,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,786.42560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Dream79c10,518$8,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,240.2611754.7%64 W · 53 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Sky19c8,004$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5007236.1%26 W · 46 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Sky19c6,756$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.778633.7%29 W · 57 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Sky20c6,650$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30923931.8%76 W · 163 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Sky26c4,607$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.787327.4%20 W · 53 L-10.3wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-42.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Sky25c3,967$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+26.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Sky22c3,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78013538.5%52 W · 83 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Dream65c3,056$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.372657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe84…779ebacked Sky18c3,001$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3f5…0c82backed Dream78c2,400$1,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50fe…88fdbacked Sky22c2,045$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4804…a3bcbacked Sky22c2,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c92…1897backed Sky22c2,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf30f…a161backed Sky22c1,900$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Dream75c1,870$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.113044.6%58 W · 72 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3240…5d25backed Dream78c1,857$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f75…f4a3backed Dream78c1,600$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3521100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f1…ab0abacked Sky21c1,600$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea7b…09fbbacked Dream79c1,500$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3151100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Sky17c1,500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2558920.2%18 W · 71 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Sky17c1,500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25510337.9%39 W · 64 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Sky21c1,390$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.385158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x40ab…fbb5backed Sky19c1,301$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.22633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80b1…f64abacked Sky27c1,137$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3075221.2%11 W · 41 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ef0…e6c2backed Dream79c1,100$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2311100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc8c…8d36backed Dream78c1,051$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa73e…9e1bbacked Dream77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2301361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d2a…3d34backed Sky21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Sky17c999.98$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.33560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b5c…9038backed Dream78c994$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Dream72c800$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2242055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033b…2f6bbacked Sky41c752.66$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e9a…d9d7backed Sky24c533.12$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.97425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Sky19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027232.7%89 W · 183 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sky19c516.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023431.6%74 W · 160 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Dream79c503.46$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.73742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Sky10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06d0…059abacked Dream78c499.98$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Dream77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Sky29c394.39$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.533943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Sky17c386$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.628548.2%41 W · 44 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Sky20c365$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732737%10 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9587…cd8ebacked Sky18c342.16$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.014630.4%14 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Sky20c318.08$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.189839.8%39 W · 59 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Sky20c305.94$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.71942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Sky18c299.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5512833.6%43 W · 85 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb579…f458backed Sky22c273.41$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x105a…20e8backed Sky19c250$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe782…e7d9backed Sky22c230$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.61136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe24e…350cbacked Sky22c226.22$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Dream79c217.72$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.72850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Sky17c199.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3421337.6%80 W · 133 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Sky22c199.49$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.958839.8%35 W · 53 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+37.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Dream79c189$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.696560%39 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Dream75c182.55$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.64560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c0…a00ebacked Sky30c180.41$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11c1…7fe5backed Sky34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa52f…0425backed Sky32c143.33$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Sky25c121.28$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.325633.9%19 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Dream77c115.18$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8119142.4%81 W · 110 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Dream63c108.16$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.16683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Sky16c105.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9614136.2%51 W · 90 L+11.9wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x440e…05d7backed Sky19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked Sky22c105.13$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.131631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Sky20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bbd…0f19backed Sky41c97.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48f7…5e30backed Dream78c96.4$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.21560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Sky16c93.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.238650.3%194 W · 192 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a9d…9de8backed Sky23c87.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick29cpaid-72.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Sky34c87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.558837.5%33 W · 55 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ee4…b575backed Sky25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205234.6%18 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Sky33c79.37$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.194250%21 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Dream80c72$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.46850%34 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed Sky23c70.42$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.23060%18 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09c4…40cdbacked Sky19c68.42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe239…14eabacked Sky24c68.41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.421258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+32.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x557a…d8b4backed Sky18c66.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Dream75c66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.511552.2%60 W · 55 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7cd…f4ebbacked Sky18c64.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x605a…c6debacked Dream79c60$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.63473.5%25 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Dream75c59.2$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9623234.5%80 W · 152 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Sky21c52.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac5…fff5backed Dream79c50.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4584…c5c1backed Sky24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc389…056ebacked Sky24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed Sky31c45.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.041154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d50…a4c1backed Dream78c42.68$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.39250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecba…5fb4backed Sky32c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick52cpaid-70.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9e47…65f0backed Dream79c38.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d62…b83fbacked Dream80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.53100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x107a…4bc4backed Sky41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c59…b8e9backed Sky32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb585…d408backed Dream79c25.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe145…9e8bbacked Dream79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad6c…9f69backed Dream79c24.68$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb803…1e79backed Dream79c24.05$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7171…906fbacked Dream77c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.