WNBA · resolved market
Dream vs Sky
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb89b144a4432a6793b8d26e7c053dbe26b4eddf3deda93f5d218f5bc6593c2a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dreamof Dream, Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Dream | 79c | 33,079$26,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,057.47 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Sky | 21c | 30,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Dream | 78c | 6,036$4,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.28 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sky | 21c | 4,848$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.16 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Sky | 7c | 4,342$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.14 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Sky | 23c | 4,100$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Dream | 76c | 4,032$3,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.03 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Dream | 76c | 3,140$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.85 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Sky | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Dream | 77c | 2,612$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.43 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Dream | 78c | 1,650$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Sky | 22c | 1,364$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Sky | 22c | 1,227$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.96 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Sky | 22c | 1,050$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Sky | 14c | 979$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.2 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…3e59backed Sky | 14c | 959.7$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Sky | 21c | 720$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Dream | 77c | 649.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sky | 23c | 648.03$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.05 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Sky | 23c | 605.9$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Sky | 23c | 499.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Sky | 23c | 482.79$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.04 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Sky | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sky | 23c | 449.7$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.6 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sky | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sky | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Dream | 77c | 321$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.83 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…b19dbacked Sky | 21c | 285.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Sky | 21c | 284$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Sky | 23c | 231$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4d…c0cfbacked Sky | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Sky | 21c | 199.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Sky | 22c | 168.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x490c…3093backed Sky | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Sky | 28c | 108.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Sky | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Sky | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 24cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51a1…1467backed Sky | 23c | 86.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -60%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Sky | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…fedbbacked Sky | 24c | 71.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Sky | 21c | 71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Sky | 21c | 71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ff…1eb6backed Dream | 79c | 59.22$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Dream | 78c | 57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Dream | 77c | 47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…32bbbacked Dream | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.