WNBA · resolved market
Valkyries vs Sky
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x057ce8a46da6070109ef0eef8a055852bfa240ce077e4fc04050ad37d86f73c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valkyriesof Valkyries, Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Sky | 28c | 3,407$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.83 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Valkyries | 73c | 3,350$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Sky | 25c | 2,725$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.53 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Valkyries | 72c | 2,009$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.42 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4180…cf9cbacked Sky | 39c | 1,547$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Valkyries | 79c | 1,217$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.15 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Valkyries | 71c | 1,085$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Sky | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Sky | 10c | 999.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.92 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Sky | 14c | 750$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Valkyries | 79c | 731$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.05 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd08a…f1babacked Valkyries | 75c | 638.26$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f77…fdb8backed Sky | 21c | 599.36$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.94 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Valkyries | 71c | 591.98$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.8 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Valkyries | 72c | 550$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Valkyries | 70c | 465.11$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.9 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Sky | 29c | 441.28$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.52 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sky | 29c | 348.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Sky | 29c | 346.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sky | 29c | 343.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Valkyries | 71c | 338$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Valkyries | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Sky | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Sky | 26c | 275.01$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Valkyries | 74c | 270.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Sky | 22c | 230.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sky | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Valkyries | 70c | 196.68$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Valkyries | 71c | 150.01$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Valkyries | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Sky | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Valkyries | 76c | 132$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Sky | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Valkyries | 69c | 101.16$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Valkyries | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Valkyries | 77c | 90.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Sky | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sky | 31c | 61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Valkyries | 69c | 57.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Valkyries | 73c | 52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d8…183ebacked Sky | 40c | 50.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Sky | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Valkyries | 60c | 42.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…5e30backed Valkyries | 72c | 27.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1319…db4ebacked Valkyries | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ff…1eb6backed Valkyries | 75c | 26.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d3…a2b9backed Valkyries | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba4…7dedbacked Valkyries | 73c | 19.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e84…26c9backed Valkyries | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.