MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf42ad3cb414fd8c28d1df026a963c230f1f3c7eddda1b7b8712dabd7bb1ffcba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Phillies, Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $629,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $620,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $629,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Phillies | 39c | 567,495$221,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346,344.71 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Braves | 61c | 204,579$124,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124,793.37 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Braves | 61c | 99,794$60,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,789.99 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Braves | 61c | 96,710$58,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,993.33 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Braves | 61c | 77,777$47,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,443.97 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…667fbacked Braves | 62c | 26,500$16,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,430 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Braves | 61c | 25,103$15,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,312.56 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…b3d7backed Braves | 61c | 13,220$8,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,124.67 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Braves | 62c | 6,260$3,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,860.67 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Braves | 58c | 5,297$3,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,072.08 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 62c | 5,157$3,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,173.33 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Phillies | 42c | 5,100$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.1 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1162…1a5bbacked Phillies | 39c | 5,060$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,081.98 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Braves | 1c | 3,539$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Braves | 55c | 3,351$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.14 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Braves | 58c | 2,860$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.55 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Braves | 61c | 2,791$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Braves | 65c | 2,780$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Braves | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Phillies | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Braves | 15c | 1,930$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.6 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Braves | 17c | 1,770$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.4 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Phillies | 38c | 1,665$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.57 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Phillies | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Braves | 56c | 1,466$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.96 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Braves | 1c | 1,314$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x123a…3260backed Phillies | 42c | 1,261$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.44 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0c…cae1backed Braves | 62c | 1,250$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Phillies | 42c | 1,041$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.25 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Braves | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Phillies | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Braves | 59c | 999.93$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.96 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Braves | 53c | 840.17$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.21 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Braves | 58c | 800$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Braves | 34c | 781.12$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.73 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Braves | 56c | 750.04$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.61 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Phillies | 39c | 726.61$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.15 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Phillies | 39c | 713$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.13 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Braves | 56c | 684$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.54 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Braves | 61c | 649.96$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.48 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Braves | 62c | 600$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb7…6479backed Phillies | 41c | 598.66$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.66 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd276…ca73backed Braves | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Phillies | 44c | 456.07$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.07 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Braves | 56c | 435.85$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.06 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Braves | 3c | 433.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Phillies | 40c | 422.03$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.16 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Braves | 4c | 419.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Braves | 59c | 419.58$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.56 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Braves | 56c | 357.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Phillies | 43c | 331.96$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.22 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Phillies | 62c | 331.86$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.65 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Braves | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Braves | 62c | 312$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Braves | 65c | 308.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.24 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Phillies | 41c | 303$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.77 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad6d…fb82backed Braves | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Braves | 60c | 295.54$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Phillies | 40c | 288.95$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.11 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Phillies | 39c | 267.18$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.98 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Phillies | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe597…077cbacked Phillies | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Phillies | 40c | 255.48$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.48 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…51c6backed Braves | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Phillies | 41c | 244.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.21 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Phillies | 40c | 219.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phillies | 53c | 205.04$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.33 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Phillies | 39c | 203.23$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.97 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Phillies | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Phillies | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd540…b2febacked Braves | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…8bacbacked Braves | 55c | 199.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Phillies | 43c | 199.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Phillies | 43c | 199.97$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Braves | 57c | 176.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Braves | 55c | 169.58$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.37 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Braves | 61c | 162.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Phillies | 40c | 160.7$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Phillies | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd592…b119backed Braves | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb06…99d4backed Phillies | 39c | 148.62$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.66 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Braves | 59c | 131$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.73 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Phillies | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f91abacked Phillies | 39c | 123.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.53 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Braves | 40c | 112.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Braves | 59c | 101.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…f6fcbacked Braves | 63c | 100.78$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.49 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -6.6wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Braves | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Phillies | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Phillies | 39c | 99.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Braves | 62c | 98.61$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phillies | 36c | 97.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb2…01b4backed Braves | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Braves | 62c | 93.03$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.68 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…7bbebacked Braves | 62c | 81.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Phillies | 66c | 79.01$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6703…24a6backed Phillies | 39c | 77.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5d54backed Braves | 63c | 74.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff1…7e56backed Braves | 62c | 73.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…c876backed Phillies | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.