Euroleague · resolved market
BC Dubai vs. Barcelona
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7724e745353379cc25c6adfb8dfde154e288cce45370df3c61c4ef906dc98b42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BC Dubaiof BC Dubai, Barcelona
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd16a…7691backed BC Dubai | 50c | 1,106$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Barcelona | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x521b…db60backed Barcelona | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed BC Dubai | 67c | 875.08$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.68 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…c1efbacked BC Dubai | 49c | 745$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed BC Dubai | 49c | 499.92$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.96 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed BC Dubai | 77c | 424.21$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked BC Dubai | 48c | 365$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.8 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Barcelona | 51c | 307.84$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Barcelona | 46c | 280$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Barcelona | 14c | 274.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed BC Dubai | 49c | 231$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed BC Dubai | 64c | 218.62$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.62 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Barcelona | 49c | 213$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.85 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked BC Dubai | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Barcelona | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -7.9wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Barcelona | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28d7…d3bebacked Barcelona | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3405…5101backed BC Dubai | 51c | 184.31$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed BC Dubai | 58c | 181$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.74 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bf…fdedbacked Barcelona | 53c | 142.3$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x140f…5022backed Barcelona | 51c | 138.94$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ff…1eb6backed Barcelona | 51c | 125.53$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 61cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a89…eebdbacked Barcelona | 51c | 121.08$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked BC Dubai | 48c | 115.18$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4d…c4bebacked BC Dubai | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…d3e8backed Barcelona | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed BC Dubai | 50c | 90.49$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked BC Dubai | 48c | 62.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked BC Dubai | 48c | 61.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b3…23d1backed Barcelona | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…66afbacked Barcelona | 49c | 39.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Barcelona | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Barcelona | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…e45bbacked Barcelona | 51c | 19.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.