Tennis · resolved market
US Open: Adam Walton vs Chak Lam Coleman Wong
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa81b3e27b88a0de16bfab46d3bf58c245e13d00aa1ed2eeaea8196d5ff395ecc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wongof Walton, Wong
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Wong | 78c | 6,585$5,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.17 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Walton | 21c | 6,500$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Wong | 58c | 5,475$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325.34 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Wong | 69c | 3,630$2,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.82 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Walton | 51c | 3,347$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Walton | 17c | 3,300$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Walton | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Walton | 62c | 2,092$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wong | 38c | 1,566$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.21 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Walton | 39c | 1,224$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.33 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Wong | 79c | 1,204$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.76 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Wong | 40c | 999.98$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Wong | 38c | 899.99$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.99 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Walton | 21c | 896.74$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Walton | 35c | 818.65$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.21 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Walton | 59c | 723$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.57 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Walton | 36c | 698.06$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.92 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Walton | 61c | 687.2$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.54 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…4392backed Wong | 49c | 674.99$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.44 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Walton | 37c | 601.78$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.16 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Walton | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Wong | 74c | 485$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.83 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b2…273bbacked Wong | 74c | 455.29$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.87 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wong | 55c | 449.41$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.38 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Wong | 39c | 419.62$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.9 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Wong | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 157 | 24.8%39 W · 118 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Wong | 74c | 339.52$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.21 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Walton | 61c | 325.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3606…9bd2backed Wong | 37c | 311.73$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.57 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Wong | 75c | 304.39$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.05 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Wong | 40c | 296.67$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.67 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Walton | 71c | 294.66$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.01 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Walton | 49c | 273.47$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Walton | 61c | 262$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.09 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wong | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Wong | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Walton | 14c | 200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +84%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Walton | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 512 | 43%220 W · 292 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…ea3dbacked Walton | 54c | 188$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.31 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…1448backed Walton | 60c | 178.3$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.98 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe88e…a7d4backed Wong | 65c | 166.14$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.15 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…1d48backed Walton | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Walton | 60c | 146$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Walton | 49c | 143.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Wong | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3f…a6bfbacked Walton | 61c | 121.31$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa263…6cf0backed Walton | 35c | 102.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Wong | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Walton | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Walton | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9913…76c0backed Wong | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…58a6backed Walton | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Walton | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Wong | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Walton | 49c | 60.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb25…0e5bbacked Walton | 39c | 54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Walton | 57c | 39.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed Walton | 59c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…c5a2backed Walton | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x455a…28ebbacked Wong | 72c | 28.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Walton | 53c | 19.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.