Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-09-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3dbfb2cca217d73f45dd08c247b945f9e744bc30260bd8f72d0be36f637e749
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 69c | 2,702$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.09 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 31c | 2,500$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 70c | 1,461$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.61 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 4c | 1,405$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 17c | 1,039$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 69c | 964.57$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.2 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 67c | 711.92$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.83 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 3c | 650$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 71c | 648$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 33c | 606.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 561.13$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.32 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 32c | 312.95$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f6…c600backed Yes | 33c | 303.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 68c | 294.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.02 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 32c | 262.5$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa421…c61fbacked Yes | 34c | 235.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 70c | 209.21$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.29 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 32c | 195$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Yes | 31c | 193.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 31c | 192$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 34c | 162.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…239abacked Yes | 31c | 151.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 38cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 29c | 138.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5254…5f7dbacked Yes | 31c | 114.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b42…0a09backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 68c | 86$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Yes | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 18c | 71.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 66c | 66.83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c00…89aebacked Yes | 31c | 64.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d1…45afbacked Yes | 32c | 61.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 31c | 46.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -14.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Yes | 32c | 43.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca5…2ea0backed Yes | 32c | 37.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…2844backed Yes | 33c | 37.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 44cpaid | -75%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…e758backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 68c | 18.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lille OSC win on 2025-09-20?this page
- Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?No won
- Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-09-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.