Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-09-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f371e206b8c5de01280553b3cfd96c7350ad98d2f7c9629725be50b4f078317
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $195,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $194,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Yes | 42c | 138,861$58,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,539.65 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 58c | 59,412$34,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,459.01 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 60c | 40,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 58c | 31,725$18,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,400.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 41c | 18,131$7,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,670.93 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 58c | 9,098$5,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,276.7 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 57c | 7,000$3,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,990 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 3c | 3,754$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.83 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 58c | 1,086$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.88 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 58c | 690$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.2 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 40c | 498$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.98 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 58c | 419.15$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.11 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 41c | 408.86$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.64 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked No | 58c | 363.9$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.06 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed No | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 57c | 299.99$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.99 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed No | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 189.85$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.75 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 58c | 181.95$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.53 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed No | 61c | 179.36$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 43c | 174.42$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.42 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Yes | 42c | 145.24$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.24 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked No | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 39c | 130$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 13c | 129$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +7.4wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 58c | 108.58$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 66c | 83.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 55c | 75.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 58c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked No | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed No | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…28cbbacked No | 58c | 22.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda7b…93f4backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 58c | 17.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -14.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-09-20?this page
- Will Lille OSC win on 2025-09-20?No won
- Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.