MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf401d47dd7ef7b36de0746677be38b28739d3cb353911613ac574587bdf60eb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Reds, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $186,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Padres | 55c | 20,287$11,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,142.26 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Padres | 60c | 19,291$11,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,763.8 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Reds | 47c | 10,175$4,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,741.35 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…ae3cbacked Padres | 65c | 8,946$5,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,103.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Reds | 44c | 8,208$3,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,630.99 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Padres | 65c | 6,920$4,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,426.6 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Padres | 57c | 6,560$3,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.6 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9598…1fd2backed Reds | 43c | 5,011$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154.72 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Reds | 56c | 4,758$2,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,657.84 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Reds | 42c | 4,628$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.15 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…4d99backed Padres | 57c | 3,812$2,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.16 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Reds | 44c | 3,638$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.64 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Padres | 55c | 3,028$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.7 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Reds | 47c | 3,009$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.46 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Reds | 44c | 3,000$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.53 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Padres | 56c | 2,600$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.94 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Padres | 56c | 2,420$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.8 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Padres | 32c | 2,278$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.43 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Reds | 41c | 2,139$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.64 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Padres | 56c | 1,879$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.96 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Reds | 45c | 1,655$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Padres | 60c | 1,577$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.98 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Padres | 73c | 1,560$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.58 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Padres | 57c | 1,526$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.76 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Padres | 52c | 1,346$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.46 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 55c | 1,333$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.37 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Reds | 40c | 1,077$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.87 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Reds | 68c | 1,042$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.67 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Reds | 80c | 1,038$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.3 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Reds | 44c | 1,004$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.75 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda53…9209backed Reds | 36c | 965.92$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.51 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Reds | 45c | 911.11$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Reds | 44c | 909$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Reds | 44c | 799.95$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.98 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Padres | 80c | 770.28$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.06 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 61c | 733.61$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.11 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Reds | 46c | 700$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.8 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e44…e83fbacked Padres | 32c | 595.11$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Reds | 45c | 573.47$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.06 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Padres | 56c | 560$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.4 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Reds | 43c | 542.61$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.32 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Reds | 46c | 522$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.33 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Reds | 45c | 500.33$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.15 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Reds | 43c | 500.01$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Reds | 46c | 479$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.34 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Reds | 44c | 476.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.88 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Reds | 44c | 474$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.56 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Reds | 51c | 470.13$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.72 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Reds | 44c | 455$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Reds | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 38c | 454.17$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.92 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Reds | 44c | 454$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.76 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Reds | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Padres | 64c | 429.55$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.64 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8659…9178backed Reds | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Reds | 71c | 401.32$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.62 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed Reds | 50c | 393.73$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…8a88backed Reds | 48c | 326.64$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.31 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Reds | 42c | 298.62$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Reds | 50c | 273.33$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.17 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Padres | 63c | 268$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.16 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Padres | 56c | 244$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.36 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Reds | 44c | 236$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.84 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Reds | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Reds | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Reds | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Reds | 45c | 222$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Padres | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Reds | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Reds | 44c | 199.96$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Padres | 57c | 198.25$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.25 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Reds | 46c | 184.78$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Padres | 56c | 182.19$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.44 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Padres | 74c | 182$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Reds | 45c | 181.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…f7b2backed Padres | 64c | 178.59$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Padres | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f6…c600backed Padres | 56c | 177.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.34 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Padres | 55c | 168.43$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.8 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Reds | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4b…d004backed Padres | 31c | 154.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.84 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa1…80f8backed Reds | 40c | 151.15$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Padres | 63c | 149$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.13 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Padres | 57c | 147$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.08 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Reds | 48c | 143.73$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.96 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Padres | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Padres | 57c | 128.07$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.07 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Padres | 47c | 116.64$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Padres | 55c | 114.27$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.42 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Reds | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Reds | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Reds | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Reds | 43c | 99.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Padres | 80c | 95.95$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Padres | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Reds | 45c | 94.39$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Padres | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Padres | 60c | 91.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Reds vs. Padresthis page
- NRFI: Reds vs. PadresNo won
- Reds vs. Padres: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.