Premier League · resolved market
Will Brighton vs. Fulham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd81b0ebfd6a48c9ef8456754afa5546cf659630874e86ea6d59390e3d5283f78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a09…21fabacked No | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…332cbacked Yes | 26c | 2,695$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9467…fc3ebacked Yes | 26c | 2,310$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 27c | 1,161$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.27 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Yes | 21c | 927.21$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.27 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 69c | 869.34$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.86 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…cc93backed Yes | 28c | 799.74$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.74 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 9c | 735$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.45 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x52df…9adfbacked Yes | 20c | 721.4$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes | 28c | 601.87$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.87 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 11c | 515$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.9 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 469.05$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.46 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yes | 37c | 431.57$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.89 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29d7…068bbacked Yes | 79c | 410$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 73c | 325.19$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.39 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Yes | 26c | 310$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.4 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 19c | 299.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.99 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 29c | 288.43$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.79 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…c622backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Yes | 60c | 210$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 74c | 204$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.96 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 74c | 170$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.8 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd4…e888backed No | 76c | 154.04$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0050…336cbacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 72cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…58f6backed No | 75c | 134$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 67cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…6d97backed Yes | 25c | 134$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…a128backed Yes | 15c | 129.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.17 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 74c | 79.23$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.43 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f587backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 71c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…a286backed Yes | 33c | 59.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…68acbacked Yes | 25c | 59.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 76c | 57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Yes | 40c | 53.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 72c | 51.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xded7…1ef1backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 67cpaid | +41%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 73c | 22.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed No | 75c | 20.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…ca96backed No | 72c | 19.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.25per pick | 72cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 75c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brighton vs. Fulham end in a draw?this page
- Will Brighton win on 2025-08-16?No won
- Will Fulham win on 2025-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.