WNBA · resolved market
Storm vs. Fever
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe33e1387994bbe4086e2f907f48223f6dd96ed78f349976943604a51b47c8aa8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Feverof Storm, Fever
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Fever | 39c | 3,086$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872.1 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Storm | 63c | 2,222$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.92 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed Fever | 78c | 1,285$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Storm | 64c | 1,256$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Storm | 49c | 1,139$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.07 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Storm | 3c | 1,125$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 62 | 4.8%3 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Fever | 45c | 1,103$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.72 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Storm | 61c | 1,083$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.12 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Fever | 46c | 989.3$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.09 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Storm | 19c | 880.67$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.71 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Storm | 59c | 847$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.75 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Fever | 36c | 729$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.56 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Storm | 61c | 717.1$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.43 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Fever | 36c | 703.34$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.14 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Fever | 42c | 612.4$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.99 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Storm | 59c | 593.88$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.45 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Storm | 47c | 523.62$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.34 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Storm | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Fever | 37c | 499.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Fever | 49c | 428$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.08 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Storm | 60c | 403.93$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.36 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Fever | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Storm | 60c | 350$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Storm | 61c | 343.85$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.75 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Fever | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Fever | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Fever | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Storm | 60c | 223.86$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.89 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Fever | 40c | 199.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Storm | 27c | 182.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Fever | 55c | 171.48$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.34 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fever | 62c | 166.76$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Storm | 60c | 166.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Storm | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Storm | 43c | 120$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Fever | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Fever | 38c | 110.12$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.27 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +71%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Storm | 60c | 110$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Fever | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Fever | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Fever | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Storm | 50c | 88.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…95f3backed Fever | 59c | 84.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eaf…6c3ebacked Fever | 41c | 79.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Fever | 37c | 74.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…1272backed Storm | 61c | 67.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Fever | 41c | 63.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…8ebfbacked Fever | 44c | 52.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…98f1backed Fever | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +75%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Fever | 35c | 49.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Fever | 41c | 49.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Storm | 60c | 47.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Fever | 44c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xded7…1ef1backed Storm | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Fever | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Storm | 53c | 37.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f587backed Storm | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 66cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e2…5324backed Storm | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Fever | 37c | 30.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef00…15d8backed Storm | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Fever | 68c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Storm | 63c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.