MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e08389720486a8e87c60e67344564f8f6dbf052cfcbe8528ddade53ba30244a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Marlins, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Rangers | 64c | 16,617$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Marlins | 47c | 5,094$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Marlins | 34c | 4,847$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,205.02 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers | 25c | 4,547$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.13 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Rangers | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Marlins | 34c | 1,620$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.05 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Marlins | 34c | 1,342$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.79 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Marlins | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…9dd6backed Marlins | 46c | 906$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.24 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Marlins | 65c | 903.25$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.24 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Marlins | 46c | 799.99$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers | 52c | 760.08$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.53 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…107abacked Marlins | 71c | 702.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.44 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Rangers | 7c | 682.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Marlins | 68c | 671$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.35 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rangers | 8c | 613$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Rangers | 9c | 608.85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Marlins | 45c | 600$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.22 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Marlins | 45c | 573.38$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.36 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Rangers | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rangers | 55c | 545$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.75 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Marlins | 44c | 499.7$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.83 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Rangers | 54c | 407.41$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Marlins | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Rangers | 56c | 301.36$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.89 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Marlins | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Rangers | 53c | 280.89$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.87 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rangers | 25c | 259.62$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 54c | 242.96$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.61 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Marlins | 48c | 224.96$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.98 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Marlins | 46c | 223$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.42 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Rangers | 53c | 223$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.19 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Marlins | 48c | 219.83$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.31 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rangers | 53c | 203.48$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.85 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Marlins | 46c | 191.47$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…7ddabacked Rangers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -8.0wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rangers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Rangers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Marlins | 46c | 173.61$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.61 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Rangers | 15c | 170.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Marlins | 47c | 163$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.74 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Rangers | 51c | 135.48$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Marlins | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38d4…47d8backed Marlins | 72c | 96.92$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked Marlins | 44c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Marlins | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe88c…2f53backed Marlins | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | +14.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Marlins | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…c981backed Marlins | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…b86ebacked Rangers | 38c | 76.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81d6…bec9backed Rangers | 24c | 75.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Marlins | 46c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Rangers | 55c | 70.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 536 | 39.9%214 W · 322 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Marlins | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Marlins | 47c | 59.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e34…d38bbacked Marlins | 45c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Rangers | 75c | 52.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Marlins | 25c | 47.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Marlins | 42c | 43.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Rangers | 56c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Marlins | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Marlins | 46c | 37.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…c285backed Rangers | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Marlins | 44c | 32.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 266 | 42.1%112 W · 154 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…63d0backed Rangers | 54c | 24.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…3872backed Marlins | 45c | 23.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Rangers | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.