Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92ffd1a3ff4e79759947a074edca3b7ac61a042bcfc06b03dd4ae4a9d013f447
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 38c | 3,233$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.61 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae0…7483backed Yes | 38c | 2,237$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.81 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 11c | 1,349$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.99 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8553…78b1backed Yes | 9c | 1,200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 11c | 1,030$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.73 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 38c | 890.23$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.92 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…0919backed No | 59c | 841.34$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.95 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 70c | 831.85$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.3 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 22c | 631.45$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.17 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 71c | 580.91$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.59 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 59c | 495.06$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.25 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 75c | 466.2$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.28 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 59c | 412.8$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.24 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 59c | 400$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 46c | 365.62$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.58 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 351.84$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.46 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 58c | 336.65$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.34 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed Yes | 11c | 322$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 59c | 289.98$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.42 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 60c | 285.83$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.62 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 52c | 262.87$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed Yes | 44c | 256.88$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.1 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 44c | 256.13$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.69 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 53c | 250.74$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.98 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 38c | 250.35$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.13 | 539 | 25.6%138 W · 401 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 20c | 250.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 50c | 233.19$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.8 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 45c | 232.51$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.04 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 69c | 231.98$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.33 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb22…8186backed Yes | 54c | 231.47$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.68 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 73c | 211.77$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.11 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 39c | 188.46$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.08 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked No | 55c | 182.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 63c | 178$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.86 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 12c | 176.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9dd…4226backed Yes | 17c | 162.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 59c | 162$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 69c | 160.01$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.46 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed Yes | 19c | 160$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 721 | 25.5%184 W · 537 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…4a6dbacked Yes | 38c | 157.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…c0a7backed No | 59c | 155$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.55 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 22c | 144.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…2264backed Yes | 11c | 140.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…0ec1backed No | 59c | 130$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 24c | 130$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 32c | 122.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 21c | 119.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2184…d271backed Yes | 42c | 111.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 36c | 108.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 60c | 105$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ed…156fbacked No | 59c | 105$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 79c | 102$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9898…0a7dbacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x326c…ef55backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…0ad7backed Yes | 11c | 99.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked No | 56c | 99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae79…5322backed Yes | 51c | 97.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 40c | 96.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…64f3backed Yes | 13c | 94.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b3…b220backed Yes | 45c | 90.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 62c | 88.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3f…bc25backed No | 55c | 81.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 42c | 79.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed Yes | 46c | 76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 14c | 75.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5500…b4f6backed Yes | 20c | 74.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed No | 74c | 70.15$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 270 | 56.7%153 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 60c | 69.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 44c | 69.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 59c | 69.41$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d8…ec63backed Yes | 16c | 66.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 63c | 65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad3…e651backed No | 62c | 64.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 333 | 51.7%172 W · 161 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb1…6644backed Yes | 33c | 60.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed No | 56c | 60.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 304 | 42.8%130 W · 174 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked No | 59c | 59.96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafb7…e027backed Yes | 41c | 55.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 46c | 55.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e17…9289backed Yes | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2851…d63cbacked No | 61c | 52.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa967…79a5backed Yes | 47c | 51.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed No | 60c | 51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 239 | 58.2%139 W · 100 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…76a0backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e03…bb77backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…1d91backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…ec8ebacked Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 439 | 59.5%261 W · 178 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…aa30backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…8c5fbacked No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31a…8817backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Yes | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 43c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 44c | 49.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 421 | 48%202 W · 219 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 28?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.