Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf77e2acdf2df3471b85dd0b1620e0e4f0f9010de242f0ad0ced531db20bb594a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 1c | 2,272$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 14c | 969.27$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.86 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked Yes | 22c | 944.48$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.1 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 2c | 746.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 5c | 628.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 78c | 478.36$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.01 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d5…195bbacked Yes | 24c | 450$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 19c | 358.3$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 75c | 271.41$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.62 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…f7d3backed Yes | 27c | 228.07$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.22 | 134 | 23.1%31 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 23c | 225.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 75c | 201.75$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 539 | 25.6%138 W · 401 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 25c | 200.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 14c | 199.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 25c | 196.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 79c | 195.35$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 28c | 185.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 1,088 | 55.5%604 W · 484 L | -27.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…3428backed Yes | 22c | 157.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 188 | 45.2%85 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 16c | 138.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 14c | 125.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 25c | 119.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 75c | 114.76$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2250…4cd7backed Yes | 25c | 113.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 18c | 110.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 22c | 108.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 80c | 106.92$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 18c | 106.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec47…0c22backed Yes | 29c | 103.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 182 | 22%40 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…44bcbacked Yes | 27c | 100.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a1…1d37backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 320 | 41.9%134 W · 186 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa754…ec4bbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea1a…bf1abacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba95…ec86backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed No | 80c | 92.02$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 21c | 85.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3c65backed Yes | 30c | 85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…8159backed Yes | 24c | 79.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 587 | 32.9%193 W · 394 L | +34.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…7cfcbacked Yes | 22c | 78.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 543 | 35%190 W · 353 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 18c | 76.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 26c | 75.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a9…9642backed Yes | 22c | 72.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb1…6644backed Yes | 26c | 71.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5953…192fbacked Yes | 17c | 69.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 71c | 67.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 23c | 58.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…87d3backed Yes | 23c | 56.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 303 | 32.3%98 W · 205 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5500…b4f6backed Yes | 19c | 55.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad3…e651backed No | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 333 | 51.7%172 W · 161 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede4…1c40backed No | 74c | 54.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 153 | 69.9%107 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 24c | 53.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa967…79a5backed Yes | 22c | 52.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 22c | 49.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 75c | 48.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6f…e9fabacked Yes | 23c | 47.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 24c | 47.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 75c | 46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 76c | 45.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed Yes | 24c | 42.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 75c | 39.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 78c | 37.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…5904backed No | 76c | 36.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 28c | 36.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 78c | 32.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc39…fb21backed No | 72c | 30.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 78c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 74c | 26.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…0fe5backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 515 | 68%350 W · 165 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 74c | 24.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…ddd0backed No | 72c | 21.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 466 | 67.6%315 W · 151 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +334.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9518…6c1ebacked No | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 106 | 71.7%76 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb86b…aabfbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 158 | 68.4%108 W · 50 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…ff15backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 75c | 17.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…3a4ebacked No | 79c | 16.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 72cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…ee1abacked No | 75c | 15.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 60cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 28?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.