Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa32ff47fc39796c05d3ab2721fd6d90b41ba00753f4f1e4d257421695b4d337
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 43c | 2,282$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.16 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 12c | 2,058$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.59 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…01c2backed No | 1c | 2,034$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 39c | 972.45$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.58 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 37c | 740.73$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.76 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 67c | 621.75$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.72 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…a42dbacked Yes | 48c | 614.82$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.21 | 203 | 27.1%55 W · 148 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 26c | 596.03$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.49 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 22c | 521.4$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.28 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…401ebacked Yes | 24c | 510.72$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.69 | 374 | 17.4%65 W · 309 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 44c | 466.2$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.44 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 52c | 438.47$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.06 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 35c | 411.3$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.08 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 20c | 397.44$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.16 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed No | 12c | 365.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 64c | 310.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 20c | 305.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.82 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a57…0765backed No | 80c | 301.61$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 58c | 299.37$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.88 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 60c | 296.11$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.71 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 73c | 277.76$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.38 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x804d…cf86backed Yes | 70c | 275.75$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.34 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 64c | 254.99$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.05 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 19c | 233.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.08 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…44f0backed No | 58c | 230.67$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.44 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 9c | 224$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 19c | 210.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 34c | 205$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.15 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafb7…e027backed Yes | 20c | 199.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 77c | 199.98$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.98 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 33c | 181.72$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 281 | 63.7%179 W · 102 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617a…8c79backed No | 57c | 157.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.95 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cd…eaecbacked No | 14c | 155.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed No | 43c | 154.93$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.03 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 80c | 138.07$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 23c | 132.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.57 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd489…7f08backed No | 80c | 129.18$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.34 | 95 | 66.3%63 W · 32 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 68c | 126.8$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.61 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 41c | 122.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 67c | 116.85$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 27c | 116.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 76c | 114.61$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.24 | 539 | 25.6%138 W · 401 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ce…506cbacked Yes | 75c | 108.69$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 20c | 106.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.73 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ce…49e0backed Yes | 80c | 101.01$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 455 | 40%182 W · 273 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 22c | 100.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.41 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea1a…bf1abacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Yes | 27c | 97.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.96 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 34c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 22c | 87.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.86 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…2330backed Yes | 47c | 84.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 40c | 83.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf9dd…4226backed Yes | 67c | 78.57$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3311…d659backed No | 14c | 76.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 195 | 51.8%101 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…4a6dbacked Yes | 20c | 76.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…04c2backed Yes | 19c | 75.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.06 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7c…d7b8backed No | 42c | 72.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…f753backed Yes | 73c | 72.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 236 | 68.2%161 W · 75 L | +18.8wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed No | 74c | 69.79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 270 | 56.7%153 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 71c | 69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa967…79a5backed Yes | 48c | 68.18$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 60c | 65.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcad1…7cf9backed Yes | 69c | 61.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94ae…d801backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb349…cd79backed No | 31c | 59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f0…a4ccbacked Yes | 64c | 58.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 235 | 40.9%96 W · 139 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 23c | 58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.41 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked Yes | 19c | 57.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.45 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 78c | 57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…f8efbacked Yes | 22c | 53.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 80c | 53.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede4…1c40backed No | 80c | 53.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 153 | 69.9%107 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f74cbacked Yes | 41c | 52.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad3…e651backed No | 78c | 50.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 333 | 51.7%172 W · 161 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 23c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…1f91backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…f811backed Yes | 42c | 45.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…6775backed Yes | 67c | 44.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…7c3abacked Yes | 47c | 42.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 59c | 41.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547d…b1d8backed Yes | 42c | 41.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +130.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…1d91backed Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee88…49a4backed No | 58c | 39.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 75c | 38.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…0d5dbacked Yes | 32c | 37.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…4eb6backed Yes | 77c | 36.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 219 | 64.8%142 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61c…4dd6backed Yes | 43c | 35.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d5…d3a6backed Yes | 57c | 34.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 78c | 32.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 72c | 32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3f…5d84backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 802 | 75.7%607 W · 195 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 77c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b6…3b38backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 471 | 75.6%356 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 56c | 25.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 43c | 25.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.