Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f134bfca3109e0c95d2c800569890bc0405e01549aa29e80efc240cf58061b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 27c | 970.16$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.86 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 24c | 838.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 36c | 429.49$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.7 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 20c | 345.62$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 76c | 343.13$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.78 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 71c | 314.67$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.63 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 66c | 289.58$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.26 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 66c | 287.26$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.03 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 46c | 261.93$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.09 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…64f3backed Yes | 38c | 258.55$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.03 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…42e0backed Yes | 52c | 245.44$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.6 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 59c | 229.11$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.8 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f56…2adcbacked Yes | 26c | 224.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 76c | 214$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 25c | 200.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadb0…1c8cbacked Yes | 51c | 177.87$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.14 | 541 | 43.1%233 W · 308 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32af…a7c3backed Yes | 31c | 169.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 79c | 167.88$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 16c | 161.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54fc…4330backed Yes | 29c | 154.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 71c | 153.21$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.78 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.36 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 38c | 149.57$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.36 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 34c | 146.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…1d91backed Yes | 27c | 138.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 22c | 131$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 72c | 124.2$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 62c | 122.69$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 29c | 122$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 25c | 120.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 31c | 114.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b31…8ee2backed No | 71c | 113.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ba…1deabacked No | 70c | 110$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 39c | 109.43$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 19c | 99.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 76c | 97$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf81c…4540backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 64c | 93.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 73c | 88.97$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf576…a786backed No | 70c | 88.51$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 376 | 69.4%261 W · 115 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 73c | 88$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 66c | 84.74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 75c | 84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 25c | 83.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 76c | 78.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 62c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba88…a08ebacked No | 75c | 73.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 71c | 71.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 67c | 66.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 76c | 65.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9110…c879backed No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…a1a5backed No | 79c | 63.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 435 | 59.8%260 W · 175 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 24c | 61.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 73c | 61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 22c | 59.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes | 24c | 59.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 577 | 47%271 W · 306 L | +40.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc6…22a6backed Yes | 24c | 59.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 59c | 58.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 75c | 56.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 75c | 56.65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 74c | 56.59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 20c | 55.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…6f7bbacked Yes | 50c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef0…62e0backed No | 61c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 75c | 52.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed No | 76c | 51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 239 | 58.2%139 W · 100 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1c…25f0backed Yes | 30c | 50.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…a085backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e27…d5babacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca2…fa31backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b5…c988backed Yes | 22c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 28c | 49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 24c | 47.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe61b…b4adbacked Yes | 26c | 46.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed No | 69c | 43.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d75…ad01backed Yes | 39c | 42.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3615…1577backed Yes | 30c | 40.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 69c | 40.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x376c…41acbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc64…2c70backed Yes | 39c | 38.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…aab7backed Yes | 34c | 32.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…1d16backed Yes | 33c | 32.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9016…3cecbacked No | 78c | 30.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 34 | 82.4%28 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 66c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 67c | 29.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 67c | 28.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 539 | 25.6%138 W · 401 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25b2…4edbbacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 66c | 26.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62d9…6da7backed No | 69c | 26.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked Yes | 39c | 26.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 472 | 39.8%188 W · 284 L | +31.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 28?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or higher on June 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.